AVAX is approaching a critical resistance zone at $17.8, with its recent recovery structure hinting at a potential trend shift as traders watch for confirmation of a broader reversal.
Avalanche AVAX has begun showing signs of early structural recovery after spending months inside a deep corrective cycle. With price pressing into fresh resistance zones and ecosystem catalysts resurfacing, market participants are now watching whether AVAX can sustain momentum into December and reclaim higher-timeframe levels.
While short-term conditions appear constructive, analysts caution that AVAX remains inside a broader multi-month downtrend, meaning upcoming reactions near key supply zones will determine whether this bounce evolves into a genuine trend reversal.
AVAX Price Sees $17.80 as Key Resistance
AVAX has been climbing steadily from its recent lows, with market data showing a clean recovery structure forming on CW8900’s chart. The token is now pressing directly against its next major sell wall around $ 17.80, a level that previously triggered heavy rejection during multiple failed breakout attempts.
AVAX is now pressing into the crucial $17.80 resistance zone after rebounding from deeply oversold levels near $12–$13. Source: CW8900 via X
This resistance level carries extra weight because the recent bounce emerged from a deeply oversold region near $12.0 to $13.0, where accumulation patterns began forming after months of distribution. As long as AVAX continues holding above the immediate $14.0 to $14.5 support band, the short-term trend remains tilted towards continuation.
Trading volume has also increased slightly over the last 48 hours, hinting that buyers are attempting to reestablish directional control. A clean break above $17.8 would expose the next liquidity pocket closer to $19.00–$20.20, where previous inefficiencies remain unfilled.
AVAX Technical Analysis: Supply Zone at $15.1–$15.5 Still in Focus
AVAX recently reclaimed a small break-of-structure level on the 4H chart, with price rotating upward and returning into a known supply cluster between $15.10–$15.50. This zone has historically attracted sell-side pressure, and the current retest will help determine whether AVAX can sustain momentum.
AVAX rotates back into the key $15.1–$15.5 supply zone, a region that has repeatedly triggered sell-side reactions in previous cycles. Source: Emilio Crypto Bojan via X
This area also aligns with unmitigated order blocks and prior inefficiencies, making it one of the most important short-term decision points on the chart. If AVAX holds above $15 on repeated retests, the probability of continuation toward higher ranges increases significantly.
Bullish Flag Forms on the 12H Chart
A developing bullish flag on the 12H timeframe adds another layer of interest to the AVAX setup. Price has been consolidating inside this falling channel while printing a series of higher lows on intraday charts, hinting that the market could be preparing for a potential continuation push.
A strategic accumulation zone is forming near $14.8–$15.0, reflected by repeated reactions and tightening price action. Should buyers secure a breakout above the channel’s upper boundary, the measured move projection points towards $19.2, aligning with mid-range liquidity and previous structural breakdown levels.
AVAX continues to coil inside a 12H bullish flag, with tightening price action building pressure for a potential breakout towards the $19.2 region. Source: KlondikeAI via X
However, failure to reclaim the upper flag boundary could drag AVAX back towards the lower trendline between $11.8–$12.2, leaving the bullish setup vulnerable in the face of broader market volatility.
Can AVAX Really Aim for $100 Again?
Macro structure remains the biggest variable in the AVAX price prediction for 2025. A high-timeframe chart from ray highlights price grinding along a multi-year descending trendline, the same region that preceded Avalanche’s explosive expansions during earlier market cycles.
If AVAX manages to reclaim its mid-range and secure closes above $22–$25, the market opens towards the next major macro region at $40–$48, which historically served as a pivotal reaction zone. This level often acts as the “gateway” to large, fast expansions for Avalanche.
In an ideal high-liquidity bull environment, clearing $48 could set the stage for a gradual climb towards the $90–$100 zone over the longer term. While heavily conditional, the macro roadmap remains technically valid as long as AVAX holds its multi-year support base.
AVAX grinds along a multi-year trendline that previously fueled explosive rallies, keeping the long-term path towards $90–$100 technically intact if key structural levels are reclaimed. Source: ray via X
Final Thoughts
Avalanche’s recent recovery structure suggests the market is entering a phase where both technical and fundamental catalysts are beginning to align. The key test now lies at $17.8, where AVAX must prove its ability to overcome a major supply block.
Failure to break the zone risks continuation of the broader downtrend. However, a decisive reclaim could unlock space towards $19–$20, followed by larger structural targets at $40–$48 over the mid-term.
The Avalanche price prediction for 2025 remains dependent on whether buyers can maintain structure at higher lows and whether macro liquidity cycles support a broader risk-on rotation. While long-term projections towards $90–$100 are possible, they remain conditional on reclaiming major structural levels first.