Assessing if SPX can break KEY hurdle amid 17% rebound

Key Takeaways

What technical level is critical for SPX’s next move? 

The descending resistance line is key, and a breakout above it could trigger a strong rally.

What does current investor sentiment suggest about SPX’s momentum?

With 87.27% of investors betting on a rally, sentiment points to strong community-backed bullish momentum.

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While Spx6900 [SPX] posted cumulative gains of 17% after a 19% downturn, the question remains: is this recent rally a fluke?

Hurdle could hinder SPX

The 4-hour chart shows that SPX has hit a major roadblock as the asset rallied into a resistance zone at press time.

The descending resistance line remains key to SPX’s next move. A failure to rally above this level would imply that the asset continues to trend lower, a scenario that has occurred twice already.

Source: TradingView

A breach above this level would imply that the asset could trend far higher, potentially revisiting the high it last crossed earlier in the year when SPX reached $1.21.

Typically, this pattern has surfaced ahead of market rallies on multiple occasions, a situation that could be unfolding again.

Indicators show a bullish possibility

Indicators show a potential for the price to make an upswing, with sentiment turning bullish across the community.

At the time of writing, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicated that a strong bullish momentum is forming, as the blue MACD line was about to cross above the orange signal line on the chart, suggesting renewed interest.

Source: TradingView

However, the Money Flow Index (MFI), which measures liquidity inflows and outflows, presents a different picture.

The MFI showed a reading of 48, which sits below the bullish zone of 50 and above.

This drop implies that capital inflows have briefly slowed despite the recent surge and the expected bullish momentum.

Community-backed movement

The recent SPX surge comes alongside a rise in community interest over the past market sessions.

CoinMarketCap’s community sentiment data shows renewed positioning, with 87.27% of investors now betting on a potential rally.

Source: CoinMarketCap

When investor bets rise to this level, it suggests that the motivation to purchase SPX remains high and that capital could rotate back into the market.

If capital returns, there is a high chance that SPX breaks through the descending resistance line, with the asset trending far higher on the chart.