Market Adjusts as Fed Rate Cut Predictions Shift

Key Points:

  • Market anticipates reduced probability of a December rate cut post-Fed minutes.
  • Expectations for no rate change are now higher among investors.
  • Crypto assets likely influenced by shifting macroeconomic indicators.

Following the release of the Federal Reserve’s October meeting minutes, market expectations for a December rate cut diminished, with a probability decrease to 31.6% as indicated by CME FedWatch Tool.

This shift signifies potential continued monetary stabilization, impacting traditional and cryptocurrency markets, where rate changes often influence asset valuations and trader sentiment.

Crypto Market Responses to Fed Policy Adjustments

Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $88,587.13 with a market cap of 1.77 trillion and dominance at 58.61%, according to CoinMarketCap. Despite recent Fed policy impacts, BTC has declined 20.94% over 90 days, alongside a 34.36% drop in 24-hour trading volume now at 74.61 billion.

According to Coincu research, historical trends suggest that adjustments in Fed policy often drive fluctuations in crypto valuations, as regulatory shifts can alter liquidity flows and investor confidence. These developments are crucial for tech advancement and market positioning, potentially impacting future crypto adoption and regulation.

“The market’s reassessment displays a strong reliance on the Fed’s cues, with current odds showing only 31.6% for a rate cut, far from the initial expectations.” — Arthur Hayes, Co-founder, BitMEX

Market Data Insights

Did you know? Federal Reserve communications in 2020 similarly influenced crypto markets, prompting surges in Bitcoin prices as traders reacted to policy signals.

Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $88,587.13 with a market cap of 1.77 trillion and dominance at 58.61%, according to CoinMarketCap. Despite recent Fed policy impacts, BTC has declined 20.94% over 90 days, alongside a 34.36% drop in 24-hour trading volume now at 74.61 billion.

bitcoin-daily-chart-4495

Bitcoin(BTC), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 19:48 UTC on November 19, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap

These developments are crucial for tech advancement and market positioning, potentially impacting future crypto adoption and regulation.

Source: https://coincu.com/markets/fed-rate-cut-crypto-impact-8/