Peter Drucker set the stage in Managing in Turbulent Times when he set out the idea that “the greatest danger in times of turbulence is not the turbulence; it is to act with yesterday’s logic.” (Photo by Sean Gallup/Getty Images)
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In the 1980s, an Austrian American consultant named Peter Drucker published a book called Managing in Turbulent Times which went on to become a seminal text for modern management. In it, he set out the idea that “the greatest danger in times of turbulence is not the turbulence; it is to act with yesterday’s logic.”
Fast forward to today and his words feel less like theory and more like a direct warning. The economic and geopolitical uncertainty that dogged 2025 is going nowhere in 2026. Which means that rather than treat risk as a background concern or insurance checkbox, manufacturers must place it at the heart of resiliency creation across the enterprise.
Threats without borders
This shift is non-negotiable. Having become accustomed to dealing with isolated, mostly manageable threats, the industry now faces risks that are interconnected and systemic. This makes them harder to classify into neat categories like “IT” or “operational”, persistent enough to linger and compound, and capable of creating cumulative pressure throughout the entire organizational ecosystem.
As the lines blur between physical and digital systems, the time from cause to consequence is shrinking too. Recent high-profile incidents have demonstrated how a single event – often triggered by software or infrastructure – can cascade rapidly across multiple risk categories, leading to operational shutdowns, financial instability, regulatory exposure, and lasting reputational harm.
Old tools, new blind spot
These modern, interconnected threats require modern, interconnected solutions – and it’s here, that manufacturing leaders need to act. For years, the industry has used historical loss data to inform the future. Dashboards for example, remain largely backward-looking, relying on risks that are known and quantifiable, such as fires or mechanical failures.
Yet as technologies like electric vehicles and AI-based systems emerge, risks are becoming much more non-linear. These traditional tools are therefore finding themselves out of step with operational realities and we’re seeing the emergence of blind spot when it comes to spotting new, hybrid threats. Threats that can multiply and stack up with unprecedented speed.
Similarly, while manufacturers are great at tracking traditional performance metrics like productivity, throughput and labor efficiency, this same rigor is not yet applied to risk exposure or recovery readiness. These must be built into operational KPIs too, helping firms benchmark resiliency in the same way they do traditional performance markers like cost and uptime.
Sparking action
Risk management can also no longer function as a silo or compliance activity. Instead, it should be a driver of enterprise strategy, with a clear connection to capital allocation and long-term planning. Risk frameworks that combine finance, operations, HR, IT, and compliance into a single cohesive view are essential here, supported by tactics like cross-functional heat maps and scenario planning that help prioritize investment and sharpen threat forecasting.
Rather than wait for board mandates or top-down directives, risk mangers can provide the spark for action, working with leaders to ensure stakeholders at every level have the opportunity – and responsibility – to create incident response plans that connect the dots between departments, functions, and teams. In the manufacturing businesses of tomorrow, anyone working to prevent downtime, protect data, or manage third-party dependencies is part of the risk landscape, even if their title doesn’t say so.
Disrupted or disrupting?
So what does this all mean for 2026? As we head into the new year, manufacturers can, on one hand at least, expect more of the same. More trade uncertainty, more economic instability, more geopolitical strife.
But what they can’t expect is to succeed by addressing these familiar questions with the same old assumptions and answers. Resiliency needs to become both measurable and accountable. Ongoing disruption in the operating landscape should be countered by planned disruption within the business. And rather than learn from the past, firms must take a proactive and integrated approach to predicting the future.
In short, risk can no longer be something manufacturers react to; it has to be a lever for leadership and competitive edge. A core component of everything from strategic decision-making and capital allocation to skills mapping and workforce transformation. As Peter Drucker said, it won’t be turbulence itself that makes or breaks tomorrow’s manufacturing companies. It will be whether or not they dare to re-write the rules for managing it.