Key Insights:
- Bitwise advanced a Dogecoin (DOGE) ETF under Section 8(a) using CF Benchmarks’ settlement price.
- Long-term charts showed a recurring base-break-expansion pattern for DOGE price.
- Large holders reduced supply while retail activity rose; momentum signals turned higher.
Dogecoin price was around $0.1777 at the time of writing, down 2.07% in the past 24 hours but up 8.69% over the week and down 6.71% in the past month.
Bitwise advanced a Dogecoin ETF through Section 8(a) in the United States, and analysts assessed the chart and liquidity implications.
Dogecoin ETF Fuels Optimism for DOGE Price Rally
Bitwise fuels optimism with its latest move to launch a Dogecoin ETF. The issuer pursued a spot product that held DOGE directly and tracked a regulated benchmark.
Bitwise said that the fund would calculate net asset value with the CF DOGE-Dollar Settlement Price. That methodology came from CF Benchmarks, which supported transparent, rules-based pricing across venues.
If approved, the structure could widen market access for institutions that require a supervised wrapper. Broader access often increased depth on order books and reduced frictions during inflows or outflows.
Against that backdrop, DOGE price could have reflected improved access and clearer valuations.
Analysts noted the Section 8(a) route shortened timelines versus standard ETF registration processes. They said the approach allowed the product to move without the same review cadence.
Faster resolution reduced event uncertainty, which often shaped positioning around a regulatory catalyst. Market participants also tracked operational details that affected settlement and custody for DOGE.
They considered creation and redemption mechanics, which influenced primary market liquidity. They also watched valuation sources and dissemination times that could interact with futures hedges.
In parallel, community voices restated governance realities that framed expectations for announcements. Developer Mishaboar said Dogecoin had no official entity or representative body.
That reminder aimed to curb confusion when campaigns or products claimed official status. It also reinforced that development and promotion rested with a diffuse, volunteer community.
In past cycles, Dogecoin price often moved on regulatory or listing milestones, both direct and indirect.
Dogecoin Price Historical Setup
Veteran chart watchers described a repeating three-step pattern on multi-year DOGE price charts. They cited lengthy accumulation phases, decisive range breaks, and later expansion moves.
Observers linked that map to analyses from Bitcoinsensus and trader Tardigrade on X. Those posts highlighted reactions near a rising trendline that connected prior cycle lows.
Each contact, they said, preceded a strong advance during the following months. The 2021 run offered the clearest example as Dogecoin rallied from fractions to above $0.70.
That history did not determine outcomes, but it shaped framing for many participants. Within that framing, DOGE price showed a base-and-break rhythm on longer time frames.
Traders, therefore, watched the mid-$0.20s as a plausible extension if momentum persisted. Before that, they focused on the psychological barrier near $0.20 and nearby supply pockets.
A move through that area, analysts said, would clarify Dogecoin’s price intent on weekly charts.
However, shorter windows offered a complementary view using momentum and breadth indicators.
Analysts reported a constructive crossover in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator.
They also noted a rising Relative Strength Index that trended toward historically stretched zones. RSI measured the speed of gains on a 0–100 scale; readings above 70 often flagged exuberance.
MACD compares two moving averages and a histogram to show momentum shifts and potential trend inflections. On intraday views, flows from large addresses and order book imbalances also mattered.
Reports suggested large holders reduced balances while smaller accounts added exposure. That shift, if sustained, could ease overhead supply during rallies and support retests.
In that context, Dogecoin price approached supply between the high-$0.10s and the $0.20 area.
What’s Next Amid Dogecoi ETF Optimism?
Participants mapped scenarios around price levels, product timing, and liquidity conditions. A confirmed daily or weekly close above $0.18 would support DOGE price trend strength.
They looked for rising volume on breaks and lighter volume on pullbacks into prior ranges. They also tracked whether any Dogecoin ETF launch synchronized with positioning in derivatives.
For context, an approval of such an ETF could attract the institutions, which could help demand for the meme coin in the market.
Meanwhile, primary market activity could shape hedging flows and the pace of secondary market inventory.
Analysts also monitored whether whale distribution slowed as retail demand stabilized. Those dynamics often changed the character of pullbacks and squeezes during advances.
Having said that, if the bulls remain in control and a Dogecoin ETF launch could help in a robust rally in DOGE price ahead.
However, considering the volatile scenario in the market, investors should place their bets after doing thorough research on the fundamental aspects of the broader market.