Fed Rate Cut Probability Rises to 69.6% for December

Data from CME’s FedWatch tool suggests a 69.6% chance of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut in December, impacting market expectations for monetary policy changes.

The potential rate cut could boost risk asset rallies, affecting cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum amid high institutional interest and potential ETF approvals.

69.6% Probability: December Rate Cut Expected

The Federal Reserve, led by Jerome Powell, considers a potential 25 basis point rate cut in December. Current FedWatch data indicates a 69.6% probability of the cut. This move signals ongoing adjustments to monetary policy. Institutional demand remains strong in the crypto sector, anticipating positive impacts from such a monetary policy shift.

Such a rate cut may bolster liquidity, encouraging investments in higher-risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Institutional interest in crypto ETFs is rising, with over 80% of institutions surveyed expressing interest beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. The crypto community watches closely for rate decisions, which historically affect market dynamics. Things look promising as “Over 80% of surveyed institutions are interested in crypto ETFs beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum,” said Sygnum Bank. No major statements have emerged from top crypto influencers yet, though cautioned optimism persists within industry circles.

Crypto Markets Brace for Potential Fed Rate Cut Impact

Did you know? In recent dovish Fed cycles, Bitcoin prices rose sharply, illustrating the asset’s sensitivity to monetary policy changes.

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently valued at $103,516.89, boasting a market cap of $2.06 trillion with a dominance of 59.18%. Trading volume for the past 24 hours is $72.08 billion, despite a 3.03% drop. Over the past 90 days, Bitcoin has decreased by 14.81%, as data from CoinMarketCap suggests.

Coincu analysts foresee that if a rate cut occurs, there may be an uptick in crypto investments, reflecting past behavior during similar rate cycles. The expectation of ETF approvals and institutional interest suggests continued strength, though volatility may persist given the broader market’s uncertainties.