- XRP trades near $2.31 after rejecting the descending trendline, keeping upside capped below the EMA cluster.
- CoinGlass data shows $24.97M in net spot outflows, signaling distribution instead of accumulation at support.
- A close below $2.20 exposes $2.10 and $1.95, while reclaiming $2.42–$2.66 is needed to flip the structure bullish.
XRP trades near $2.31 at press time, hovering just above the critical demand zone between $2.20 and $2.25. The market is reacting to continued spot outflows and persistent lower highs on the daily chart, reflecting hesitation from buyers as sellers defend key moving averages.
Spot Outflows Show Distribution As Buyers Step Back
CoinGlass data shows $24.97 million in net spot outflows. Outflows indicate tokens are being transferred back to exchanges rather than removed for long-term holding. When outflows increase while price retests a major support area, it signals distribution rather than accumulation.
Derivatives Activity Rises, But Bias Remains Mixed
Futures open interest increased 2.54 percent to $3.42 billion. Volume also rose more than 12 percent. The increase in open interest indicates new positions are being built rather than old positions being unwound.
Options activity jumped sharply. Options volume rose nearly 135 percent during the last session, and options open interest increased 233 percent. The growth in options positioning reflects traders building exposure around upcoming volatility. However, it does not show a firm directional bias.
On top trader accounts, long positions are still higher than shorts across Binance and OKX. The Binance XRP USDT long-to-short ratio sits at 2.34, showing some traders are attempting to catch a reversal from support. Even with that, the price continues to struggle to move past resistance, which suggests buyers are using leverage but not spot demand.
Trendline Rejection Keeps Structure Weak
The daily chart shows XRP remains capped by the descending trendline. Multiple rejection points confirm this trendline as an active resistance.
Key observations on the current structure:
- XRP trades below the 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs
- The EMA cluster between $2.42 and $2.66 forms a ceiling
- MACD remains below the signal line, with momentum weakening
Buyers attempted a rebound earlier this week but failed to reclaim the 20-day EMA at $2.42. That rejection pushed the price back toward the demand zone at $2.20 and $2.25. Losing this shelf would expose the deeper liquidity zone near $2.10, followed by the July breakout origin at $2.01.
Until XRP clears $2.48 on strong volume, momentum stays limited. Rejection at the EMAs suggests the path of least resistance is still lower.
Will XRP Go Up?
XRP trades at a crossroads. The trendline rejection and continued spot outflows show sellers maintain control. Yet derivatives positioning shows interest from traders attempting to catch a reversal.
- Bullish case: XRP rebounds from $2.20 and clears $2.42, then $2.66. Reclaiming the EMA cluster would confirm the first structural shift. That breakout targets $2.85, then $3.10.
- Bearish case: A daily close below $2.20 confirms loss of the demand block and exposes $2.10. If that level fails, the structure opens deeper downside toward $1.95.
Related: https://coinedition.com/xrp-price-faces-deeper-correction-analyst-warns-of-1-9-retest-ahead/
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