On-chain analysis platform Glassnode stated in its latest options market report that Bitcoin investors are still in a state of intense panic and insecurity.
According to the data, there is no expectation of a strong bottom reversal in the options market, neither in the near term nor in the medium-long term.
According to Glassnode’s analysis, there are no signs of accumulation, particularly in medium- and long-term call options with a strike price of $120,000. On the contrary, even brief market rallies are being exploited by investors to sell these call options. This suggests weak long-term optimism.
One of the most striking parts of the report is the sharp shift in the put-call balance in short-term (1 week–1 month) options to the sell side.
Glassnode notes that short-term put options dominate by approximately 11-12%, suggesting that short-term expectations are where market fears are most acute.
When we look at the premium movement of short-term put options with a $100,000 strike price, the picture becomes even clearer:
In just three days, the net premium paid on these options skyrocketed from near-negative levels to over $7 million, suggesting investors were aggressively buying short-term protection.
While the sharp correction after Bitcoin hit its all-time high (ATH) on October 31 wiped out many open positions, half of that was rebuilt within a week, according to Glassnode data.
Option open interest data is hitting new records as expiration dates approach.
Moreover, after Bitcoin fell below $107,000, options volume rose sharply and remained high, suggesting intense repositioning in the market.
*This is not investment advice.