US Inflation Expectations Steady Amid October 2025 Fed Report

Key Points:

  • Fed’s report shows steady inflation expectations, impacting crypto market sentiment.
  • 1-year and 5-year inflation unchanged, affecting financial conditions.
  • Experts monitor potential effects on BTC and ETH market dynamics.

On November 8, the New York Fed reported that the U.S. 1-year inflation expectation for October fell to 3.24%, down from 3.38%, reflecting altered financial expectations.

These figures influence Federal Reserve policy, affecting interest rates, liquidity, and investor behavior across traditional and crypto markets, particularly impacting major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

New York Fed Survey Shows Stable Inflation Outlook

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York published its October survey, revealing steady inflation expectations at the 3% mark for both three- and five-year terms. This reflects a decline in the one-year inflation expectation to 3.24% from 3.38%, influencing financial outlooks.

Rising uncertainty in financial conditions continues to affect interest rate decisions. This shapes liquidity across markets, impacting both traditional assets and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

“Median inflation expectations in September increased at the one-year-ahead horizon to 3.4% from 3.2% and at the five-year-ahead horizon to 3.0% from 2.9%. They remained steady at the three-year-ahead horizon at 3.0%.” – Federal Reserve Bank of New York Research Staff, Research Staff, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (source).

Bitcoin and Ethereum Markets Brace for Impact

Did you know? The consistency of 3% inflation expectations mirrors early 2025 trends, suggesting possible market stability despite economic uncertainties ahead.

Bitcoin (BTC) recently traded at $100,500.00, with a market cap reaching $2.00 trillion, reflecting a 59.43% dominance. Recent volatility saw a 24-hour price dip of 1.17%, continuing a 30-day decline of 18.14%. Data from CoinMarketCap signal ongoing market fluctuations, last updated at 16:17 UTC, November 7, 2025.

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Bitcoin(BTC), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 16:17 UTC on November 7, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap

Experts from the Coincu research team speculate on financial, regulatory, and technological shifts following the Fed’s survey. Historical trends suggest these expectations could guide future crypto market strategies and potential legislative responses.

Source: https://coincu.com/markets/us-inflation-expectations-october-2025/