Samson Mow Suggests Bitcoin Bull Run May Loom Despite Recent Dip Below $100K

• Bitcoin’s price stability amid macroeconomic pressures highlights its resilience, with the asset holding steady above $99,000 even as global trade uncertainties mount.

• Samson Mow counters market fears by stating that original Bitcoin holders are not selling, urging focus on long-term growth rather than short-term volatility.

• Jan3’s inverted Fear & Greed Index at 23 signals extreme greed among Bitcoin enthusiasts, who prioritize accumulating sats over worrying about price drops, backed by data from traditional indices showing extreme fear.

Discover why the Bitcoin bull run is still ahead in 2025 amid price dips and expert insights from Samson Mow. Learn about market sentiment and future predictions—stay informed on crypto trends today!

What is the Current Status of the Bitcoin Bull Run in 2025?

The Bitcoin bull run remains in its early stages throughout 2025, with the cryptocurrency demonstrating resilience by marginally outperforming the US inflation rate of 3% despite recent price fluctuations. Jan3 founder Samson Mow asserted on Wednesday that the market has not yet entered a full bull phase, as Bitcoin’s value has remained relatively flat for the year so far. He highlighted that while the asset dipped to $99,607 earlier this week, according to CoinGecko data, broader upside is imminent, potentially leading to significant gains in the near future.

Bitcoin’s performance this year has been influenced by external factors, including escalating trade tensions between the United States and China, alongside other macroeconomic pressures such as interest rate expectations and global economic slowdown concerns. These elements have contributed to intensified selling pressure observed on Tuesday, yet Mow views this as a temporary setback. In a series of posts on X, he emphasized that Bitcoin’s trajectory continues to outpace traditional inflation metrics, positioning it as a superior store of value in uncertain times.

Mow’s commentary aligns with his earlier predictions from this year, where he forecasted a rapid ascent to $1 million through what he described as a “short and violent upheaval.” This outlook underscores a belief in Bitcoin’s decoupling from cyclical patterns, suggesting a potential generational shift in market dynamics similar to gold’s post-ETF era. For investors navigating this landscape, understanding these signals is crucial to distinguishing noise from substantive trends.

How Does Market Sentiment Influence the Bitcoin Bull Run?

Market sentiment plays a pivotal role in shaping the trajectory of the Bitcoin bull run, often amplifying or dampening price movements based on collective investor psychology. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a widely referenced tool for gauging emotions in the cryptocurrency space, recently returned to “extreme fear” territory this week, reflecting heightened anxiety among traders amid the price slump. Analysts attribute this shift to the confluence of geopolitical risks and economic data releases, which have eroded confidence and prompted sell-offs.

However, Jan3 offers a contrarian perspective through its proprietary index, which inverts the traditional model to better capture the behavior of dedicated Bitcoin holders. According to Jan3’s analysis, the index reading of 23 actually indicates “extreme greed,” driven by Bitcoiners’ fear of missing out on accumulating smaller units of the asset, known as sats, rather than fretting over nominal price declines. This inversion highlights a key divergence: while casual traders may panic, long-term accumulators view dips as buying opportunities, a pattern supported by on-chain data showing sustained accumulation by large holders.

Expert observations reinforce this nuanced view. Macro analyst Jordi Visser, a veteran Wall Street figure, described the current phase as an “initial product offering” for Bitcoin, where early holders offload portions of their stacks to newcomers entering the market. Visser noted on Sunday that this dynamic is typical during adoption surges, with new inflows balancing out any outflows. Data from blockchain analytics platforms corroborates this, revealing minimal net selling from addresses holding significant amounts since Bitcoin’s early days. Mow echoed this by stating he knows of no original Bitcoin holders, or OGs, actively selling at current levels above $100,000.

Source: Jan3

In one of his X posts, Mow addressed widespread fears directly: “People are fearful because they created their own theory that OGs are selling above $0.1M, and they may sell more. It’s incredible how people are capable of self-owning themselves with fear. Focus on the big picture. Bitcoin is going to add a zero, it’s just a question of when.” This statement encapsulates a broader philosophy of prioritizing fundamentals over fleeting sentiment, urging traders to prepare for exponential growth.

Furthermore, Mow expressed confidence in a potential “Christmas god candle,” a term for explosive upward price action, responding affirmatively when queried about its likelihood. While he avoids rigid adherence to market cycles, he acknowledged that believers in such patterns might anticipate a peak in 2026, potentially extending into a decade-long bull market or even an “Omegacycle” devoid of traditional tops and bottoms. These insights, drawn from Mow’s deep involvement in Bitcoin infrastructure via Jan3, demonstrate a forward-thinking approach grounded in historical precedents and current adoption metrics.

Source: Samson Mow

The interplay between fear and greed thus serves as both a warning and an opportunity within the Bitcoin bull run. Historical data from past cycles shows that extreme fear readings often precede rebounds, with Bitcoin rebounding an average of 150% within six months following such lows, per analyses from firms like Glassnode. Jan3’s index further illustrates this by quantifying the stacking behavior of committed holders, who continue to build positions regardless of short-term volatility. This resilience in sentiment among core participants bodes well for sustained upward momentum as institutional interest grows.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why hasn’t the Bitcoin bull run started in 2025 despite high prices?

The Bitcoin bull run in 2025 has not fully ignited because the asset is only marginally outperforming the 3% US inflation rate, as noted by Jan3 founder Samson Mow. With prices hovering around $100,000 after a dip to $99,607, macroeconomic factors like US-China trade tensions have capped gains. Mow predicts true bullish momentum lies ahead, focusing on long-term adoption over immediate surges.

What does extreme greed mean for Bitcoin holders during market dips?

Extreme greed, as measured by Jan3’s inverted Fear & Greed Index at 23, means dedicated Bitcoin holders are aggressively accumulating during dips, fearing they might miss future gains more than current price drops. This contrasts with the standard index’s extreme fear reading, reflecting a core community’s confidence in Bitcoin’s value proposition. It signals robust underlying demand that could fuel the next leg of the bull run.

Source: Jan3

Key Takeaways

• Bitcoin’s bull run is nascent: In 2025, the cryptocurrency’s flat performance relative to inflation indicates the real surge is pending, with experts like Samson Mow forecasting major upside.
• Fears of OG selling are unfounded: No evidence shows veteran holders dumping assets; instead, they focus on accumulation, countering narratives of widespread profit-taking.
• Sentiment inversion drives opportunity: While traditional indices scream fear, Bitcoiners’ greed for sats during dips positions them for gains—act by building long-term positions now.

Conclusion

In summary, the Bitcoin bull run of 2025 is poised for acceleration, as articulated by Jan3 founder Samson Mow, who dismisses immediate downturns driven by trade tensions and emphasizes outperformance against inflation. With no signs of original holders capitulating and an inverted sentiment index revealing underlying greed, the market’s foundation remains solid for future growth. Investors should heed this perspective, preparing for potential explosive moves toward $1 million or beyond, by focusing on accumulation strategies amid volatility— the path to substantial returns in the evolving crypto landscape starts with informed patience.