Dogecoin is lighting up the crypto charts once again, as a surge of bullish technical signals and market correlations reignite hopes of a powerful rally toward the $1 mark.
After months of muted price action, the popular meme cryptocurrency is regaining momentum. Analysts point to a confluence of technical indicators—from Elliott Wave structures and RSI patterns to TD Sequential buy signals—all suggesting that Dogecoin’s long consolidation phase may be ending. Coupled with improving sentiment and its historic link to retail-driven markets like the Russell 2000, the latest Dogecoin price prediction signals a potential return of investor enthusiasm heading into 2025.
Elliott Wave Structure Hints at the Start of a Major Cycle
Technical charts shared by analyst The Penguin indicates that Dogecoin may be completing its multi-year correction phase and preparing for the next impulsive move in a larger Elliott Wave structure. According to this analysis, the asset could be entering Wave 5 of its broader cycle—a phase often associated with strong upward trends.
The chart suggests that after bottoming near $0.06–$0.08 in 2023, DOGE began forming higher lows, signaling accumulation. If momentum builds, projected targets extend toward $1, with potential upside to $3–$4 over the next market cycle.
Analysts see Dogecoin’s higher-timeframe setup as bullish, with $1 likely this cycle despite brief short-term dips. Source: The Penguin via X
If the Elliott Wave setup holds, Dogecoin’s long-term market structure appears to support a potential rally toward the $1 level and possibly higher in the upcoming cycle.
This pattern resembles the structure seen before Dogecoin’s explosive 2021 bull run, when the coin surged by over 10,000% in a matter of months.
RSI Pattern Confirms Momentum Shift
Additional bullish confirmation comes from Trader Tardigrade’s analysis, showing a clear inverse head-and-shoulders formation on Dogecoin’s 4-hour RSI chart. This classic reversal pattern often marks the exhaustion of selling pressure and the beginning of a trend reversal.
Dogecoin’s 4-hour chart shows an inverse head-and-shoulders RSI pattern forming as $DOGE breaks above key resistance, signaling growing bullish momentum. Source: Trader Tardigrade via X
As the RSI formed higher lows while price action recorded lower lows—a bullish divergence—buyers began stepping back into the market. Following this, Dogecoin broke above a descending trendline that had capped its recovery attempts since late October. The key levels to watch now include support between $0.182 and $0.185 and resistance at $0.192–$0.20. Maintaining these levels could reinforce the bullish case.
TD Sequential Indicator Adds to the Bullish Case
Adding to the technical momentum, crypto analyst @ali_charts highlighted a TD Sequential “9” buy signal on Dogecoin’s 12-hour chart—a pattern that historically precedes strong rebounds.
“The ‘9’ signal often indicates potential seller exhaustion, with roughly 60% accuracy in predicting short-term reversals for volatile assets like DOGE,” Ali explained.
Dogecoin ($DOGE) has triggered a TD Sequential “9” buy signal, indicating potential short-term bullish momentum. Source: Ali Martinez via X
The signal appears as November begins—a month that has historically delivered average gains of 25% for Dogecoin since 2020, according to on-chain data. This aligns with a broader uptick in social sentiment and renewed retail activity across the meme coin sector.
Dogecoin and Russell 2000 Correlation Strengthens
In an intriguing macro-level analysis, Cantonese Cat (@cantonmeow) drew parallels between Dogecoin’s price movement and the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)—a small-cap stock index often associated with retail investor sentiment.
A TradingView analysis links Dogecoin to the Russell 2000, projecting a potential breakout to $1.50 by 2026 amid growing retail optimism and current $0.186 price levels. Source: Cantonese Cat via X
Their TradingView chart suggests that Dogecoin’s price action lags the Russell 2000 by approximately 2–4 months. If the correlation persists, the ongoing small-cap rally could project Dogecoin’s price to $1.50 or higher by 2026.
“Dogecoin tends to follow the Russell 2000’s momentum, reflecting shared retail enthusiasm much like in 2021,” the analyst noted.
This correlation has sparked discussion within the Dogecoin community, especially with growing optimism ahead of the coin’s December 6 anniversary—a historically active period for DOGE trading.
Market Outlook: Can Dogecoin Reach $1?
Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about the future of Dogecoin. While short-term volatility is expected, the confluence of multiple bullish signals—from RSI divergence and Elliott Wave projections to TD Sequential and equity correlations—has strengthened the long-term outlook.
If Dogecoin sustains momentum above $0.20 and breaks through major resistance zones around $0.25, a gradual climb toward the $1 target appears increasingly plausible.
Dogecoin was trading at around $0.19, up 0.24% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Brave New Coin
The broader question—”Will Dogecoin reach $1?”—now depends on whether retail enthusiasm and broader crypto market liquidity can mirror the dynamics of previous bull cycles.
For now, the charts suggest that Dogecoin’s next major rally may already be in motion, setting the stage for what could become one of the most closely watched comebacks of the 2025–2026 market cycle.