Federal Reserve Expected to Cut Interest Rates in October

Key Points:

  • The Federal Reserve might cut rates by 25 basis points in October.
  • 95.3% chance of 50 basis points cut by December.
  • Impact on BTC and ETH as market liquidity improves.

According to CME’s FedWatch tool, there’s a 97.3% likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut of 25 basis points in October 2023, affecting financial markets globally.

Expected rate cuts could enhance crypto markets’ appeal by boosting liquidity, potentially leading to increased investment in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Federal Reserve Expected to Cut Interest Rates in October

The CME Group’s FedWatch tool indicates nearly certain expectations for a 25 basis points rate reduction by the Federal Reserve this October. Historical data from previous rate cuts suggest increased risk appetite in cryptocurrency markets. Analysts note that interest rate policies significantly influence crypto yields compared to traditional financial options.

Market expectations for a cumulative 50 basis points reduction by December hover around 95.3%. Analysts speculate that such policy shifts could boost liquidity in digital assets.

Response from financial markets shows heightened interest in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. No official statements from Federal Reserve officials, but industry experts anticipate an increase in on-chain transactions as trader anticipation grows.

Bitcoin’s Market Performance Amid Rate Speculation

Did you know? Bitcoin registered a 6.17% increase over the past week, reflecting market anticipation for Federal Reserve rate adjustments, high compared to the previous month’s 4.54% rise.

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $114,459.12 with a market cap of formatNumber(2282436474667, 2) trillion and a dominant market position of 59.09%. Recent price movements included a 0.75% decrease over the past 24 hours while gaining 6.17% over the last seven days.

bitcoin-daily-chart-3989

Bitcoin(BTC), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 10:13 UTC on October 28, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap

The Coincu research team highlights that potential rate cuts could enhance cryptocurrency appeal by offering higher relative returns compared to traditional securities. Lower interest rates historically lead to increased engagements in both decentralized finance and traditional market intersections as investors seek high-yield opportunities. Cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH tend to react favorably to reduced interest rates, becoming preferred assets for speculative investments.

Source: https://coincu.com/markets/fed-interest-rate-cut-october-2025/