Solana (SOL) is holding just below the $185 mark after another muted trading session, as technical analysts remain split on the token’s next move.
The market has entered a quiet consolidation phase following last week’s rejection near $250, with trading volumes and speculative activity continuing to fade.
At the time of writing, Solana was changing hands around $184, up a modest 0.5% in 24 hours. Analysts say that while the token remains one of the top performers of 2025, momentum has cooled, and conviction among traders is fading.
Technical Picture Turns Cautious
Market analyst LennAert Snyder believes Solana has slipped into a bearish market structure after failing to maintain its upward trend above $250. He highlighted the $233 resistance as the critical level that needs to be reclaimed to shift sentiment back toward the upside.
Until that happens, Snyder expects SOL to continue moving within a narrow channel between $180 and $185, describing the current phase as a “bearish consolidation zone” where accumulation is weak and upside attempts remain fragile.
Snyder’s long-term view remains neutral, noting that Solana’s 2025 outlook could be slowed by extended consolidation and a lack of clear catalysts to drive renewed momentum.
A Case for a Short-Term Bounce
Not everyone shares the bearish tone. Analyst Ali sees potential for a rebound, projecting a move toward $210 if Solana can sustain support near current levels. His short-term model, based on the 4-hour chart, identifies a tightening pattern that could precede a brief recovery rally.
Still, Ali agrees that major resistance between $230 and $237 could quickly cap gains, making any rebound more of a relief rally than the start of a new trend. “There’s room for a bounce,” he wrote, “but not for a breakout.”
Derivatives Data Paint a Softer Market
On-chain and derivatives metrics reinforce the cautious tone. Data from CoinGlass shows a significant drop in speculative activity:
- Futures volume plunged by 46% to $18.9 billion.
- Open interest slid 6.3% to $8.6 billion.
- Options trading volumes fell 62%, while open interest slightly declined, hinting at subdued volatility expectations.
These figures reflect a market leaning toward risk aversion rather than speculation. Traders appear reluctant to re-enter leveraged positions, and the lack of volatility suggests a wait-and-see approach ahead of major macro or crypto-specific catalysts.
Market Outlook: Range-Bound Until Momentum Returns
For now, Solana remains trapped between support around $180 and resistance near $233. Breaking through either side could dictate the next major trend, but until then, the market appears content to move sideways.
Volume contraction, falling derivatives interest, and mixed technical readings all point to the same conclusion — Solana’s next major move will likely require a catalyst beyond chart patterns.
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Alex is an experienced financial journalist and cryptocurrency enthusiast. With over 8 years of experience covering the crypto, blockchain, and fintech industries, he is well-versed in the complex and ever-evolving world of digital assets. His insightful and thought-provoking articles provide readers with a clear picture of the latest developments and trends in the market. His approach allows him to break down complex ideas into accessible and in-depth content. Follow his publications to stay up to date with the most important trends and topics.