Multi-timeframe ATOM Analysis
D1 — Primary view
EMA(20/50/200): Price at 3.13 trades below 3.71, 4.06, and 4.50 USDT. This alignment confirms a bearing trend where rallies could meet supply at each EMA. Visita il sito ufficiale di Cosmos per approfondire le specifiche tecniche e l’evoluzione della blockchain.
RSI 34: firmly below 50, indicating sellers control momentum; bounces may be shallow unless RSI recovers above the midline.
MACD: line -0.29 under signal -0.23 with a -0.06 histogram. This reflects persistent, yet measured, bearish momentum; no capitulation, but bulls lack urgency.
Bollinger Bands: mid 3.82, upper 4.71, lower 2.92. Price near the lower band shows pressure on the downside; a tag of 2.92 is possible if bids thin out.
ATR(14) 0.55: volatility is active; risk control matters as daily swings could span ~0.55 USDT.
Pivots: PP 3.15, R1 3.29, S1 3.00. Trading just under PP suggests sellers leaning on intraday strength; 3.00 remains a critical line for dip demand. Per avere un quadro più ampio del settore, leggi anche la resilienza del mercato crypto durante le varie fasi di volatilità e le prospettive di recupero.
H1 — Intraday read
Bias: Price below EMA20 3.19, EMA50 3.27, and EMA200 3.49. This keeps the short-term tone soft; any pop may stall into 3.19–3.27 first.
RSI 40.23: sub-50 but stabilizing; momentum feels fragile, not impulsive.
MACD flat: line and signal around -0.05 with a 0.00 histogram → consolidation after the dip; wait for a clearer push to define direction.
Volatility: ATR(14) 0.06 and Bollinger mid 3.19 (3.04–3.34 bands) → compressed intraday ranges, favoring fade tactics until a breakout.
M15 — Micro structure
EMAs: price near EMA20 3.14 and EMA50 3.16 under EMA200 3.27 → micro mean-reversion tone below a declining higher-timeframe trend.
RSI 47.28 and MACD 0.00: neutral micro-momentum; buyers show up on dips but lack follow-through.
Bands: 3.07–3.20 with mid 3.14; price clustering near the middle signals short-term compression.
Takeaway: D1 bearish, H1 soft-bearish, M15 neutral. Overall, a cautious downtrend backdrop with intraday equilibrium — a structure that rewards patience in this ATOM Analysis. Scopri anche l’andamento di altre crypto con l’analisi sulle riserve di Bitcoin nelle banche centrali e confronta la volatilità intermarket.
Trading scenarios — ATOM Analysis
Bearish (main)
Trigger: A sustained move below 3.12 (H1 S1) increases odds of a test of 3.00; a breakdown under 3.00 could open 2.92 (D1 lower band). Puoi anche confrontare la resilienza delle altcoin nelle diverse fasi di mercato con questa analisi sulle criptovalute e mercati dopo i crash.
Target: 3.00 first, then 2.92.
Invalidation: Reclaim and hold above 3.29 (R1) would neutralize immediate downside.
Risk: Consider volatility with ATR(14) 0.55; indicative stops 0.28–0.55 USDT (0.5–1.0× ATR).
Bullish
Trigger: Acceptance above 3.29 turns momentum constructive toward moving averages.
Target: 3.49 (H1 EMA200), then 3.71 (D1 EMA20) and a stretch toward 3.82 (D1 mid band) if follow-through improves.
Invalidation: A drop back below 3.15 (PP) would weaken the bounce setup.
Risk: Use 0.28–0.55 USDT references (0.5–1.0× ATR) to size downside.
Neutral / Range
Trigger: Range-trading between 3.00–3.29 while RSI stays sub-50 on D1.
Target: Fades toward 3.15 PP or the D1 mid band at 3.82 on stronger relief.
Invalidation: A decisive close outside 3.00–3.29 shifts out of range conditions.
Risk: Keep buffers near the band edges; ATR(14) 0.55 implies swings can be abrupt.
Market context — ATOM Analysis
Total crypto mcap: 3655511935688.6865 USD; 24h change: -5.34%. BTC dominance: 57.37%. Fear & Greed: 22 (Extreme Fear).
High dominance and fear usually weigh on altcoins; this backdrop aligns with the cautious tone observed in the ATOM Analysis.
Ecosystem snapshot
DEX fees: Uniswap V3 shows steady activity (7d +9.68%, 30d +56.71) while Curve DEX surged (7d +105.17%, 30d +132.41). Uniswap V2 printed a sharp 30d jump (+2053.42%) but a -18.55% 1d drop; Uniswap V4 mixed (1d -12.92%, 7d +12.63%). Fluid DEX trends higher over 7–30d.
Overall, mixed flows hint at selective risk appetite across DeFi — liquidity rotates, but conviction is uneven.
Interpretation: Mixed fees suggest selective participation across DeFi platforms.
Source: https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2025/10/17/atom-analysis/