Tron bulls defend KEY support zone – Can TRX eye $0.40 next?

Key Takeaways 

Why is Tron’s network growth significant for TRX’s price outlook?

Tron’s expanding active addresses and strong DeFi utility reflect genuine adoption, reinforcing its long-term bullish structure.

How are derivatives traders positioning around the current TRX price levels?

With taker-buy dominance and a 1.53 long/short ratio, futures traders lean bullish, expecting a rebound above $0.33.

Since early 2020, Tron’s [TRX] ecosystem has witnessed rapid growth, with Active Addresses soaring from a few hundred thousand to nearly four million while TRX climbed from $0.004 to $0.38. 

This remarkable expansion highlights Tron’s resilience in a volatile market and reinforces its strong fundamentals. 

At the time of writing, TRX consolidated around $0.31 after a prolonged uptrend, yet on-chain activity remains robust. 

Despite short-term volatility, rising user participation and continued adoption in stablecoin and DeFi transfers suggest that the network’s bullish momentum remains intact heading toward 2026.

TRX price stabilizes as bulls defend a key support zone

TRX recently broke below its ascending trendline but found solid footing near the $0.31–$0.32 support range. 

The area coincides with previous accumulation levels where buyers historically regained control. 

This stabilization hints that selling pressure may be cooling. Furthermore, the Stochastic RSI was near 26, as of writing, reflecting oversold conditions and signaling the potential for a short-term bounce. 

If buyers reclaim $0.33, the 21-day Moving Average could act as a launchpad toward $0.37. However, a dip below $0.30 might expose TRX to brief corrective pressure before any recovery.

Source: TradingView

Buyers regain control as futures taker CVD turns dominant

On the derivatives front, the 90-day Futures Taker CVD shows Taker Buy dominance, meaning buy orders currently outweigh sell orders. 

This pattern indicates increasing accumulation among futures traders and a shift toward positive sentiment. 

Historically, similar readings have preceded rallies as leveraged traders align with spot market strength. 

The renewed buy-side activity implies that institutional and speculative investors are positioning for an upward reversal. 

However, if momentum weakens, this buying enthusiasm may fade quickly, signaling the need for TRX to maintain higher open interest consistency.

Source: CryptoQuant

Binance traders favor long positions despite market caution

Data from Binance shows that long accounts represent 60.47% of total positions, with short accounts making up 39.53%, at press time. 

The resulting 1.53 long-to-short ratio underscores a clear bullish bias. This optimism, combined with strong taker-buy readings, suggests traders expect a recovery from current support. 

However, sentiment remains fragile given recent volatility, and any decline in long exposure could pressure TRX’s near-term price action. 

Nonetheless, the alignment of spot accumulation and derivatives confidence reinforces that the market still anticipates higher valuations in the coming sessions.

Source: CoinGlass

Can TRX reignite its rally toward $0.40?

Tron’s steady growth in active addresses and strong on-chain activity suggests a solid foundation for long-term value appreciation.

If TRX holds above the key $0.31 support level and positive sentiment in the derivatives market continues, a rebound toward the $0.37–$0.40 range looks achievable.

However, if TRX breaks below this support, the correction could deepen before bullish momentum returns. Still, with Futures traders showing optimism and fundamentals improving, Tron’s recovery prospects remain strong as we head into 2026.