After several months of steady consolidation, Stellar’s price structure appears to be coiling for a potentially decisive move.
Recent technical developments point to renewed accumulation and strengthening investor confidence heading into the final quarter of 2025. Analysts are increasingly highlighting the coin’s higher time frame setup as a “launch-ready” structure, with major Fibonacci extension targets hinting at a broader recovery cycle in the making.
Long-Term Structure Turns Constructive
In a recent post on X, ChartNerd highlighted how the asset flipped its three-month 20 EMA into support during Q3, a technical shift that historically marks the beginning of major bullish cycles. The analyst referred to this development as the “perfect opportunity for a launchpad,” signaling renewed optimism after months of sideways consolidation.
Source: X
The shared chart shows multiple historical instances where a confirmed 20 EMA breakout preceded extended rallies, most notably in 2017 and 2020. Based on this recurring pattern, Fibonacci extension targets have been projected between $2.40 and $8.30, levels that align with previous euphoric phases.
This setup, according to ChartNerd, suggests that the asset’s “rocket is refueled” and is preparing for its next significant expansion phase — provided the broader market maintains its bullish undertone through Q4.
Market Overview: Price Steadies as Buyers Rebuild Confidence
According to BraveNewCoin data, XLM is trading at $0.39, marking a 3.51% daily decline. The market capitalization stands at $12.55 billion, with a daily volume of approximately $184.9 million and a circulating supply of 31.97 billion tokens.
Source: BraveNewCoin
Despite the minor pullback, price activity remains stable within a short-term consolidation band between $0.38 and $0.42, where both buyers and sellers have maintained relative balance. Historical data indicate that this type of tight-range movement often precedes stronger volatility phases, particularly when supported by sustained on-chain activity and improved capital inflows.
Technical Indicators Support Gradual Bullish Shift
At the time of writing, XLM was trading near $0.40, reflecting a 3.25% increase over the past 24 hours, according to TradingView data.
The recovery from the $0.39 zone underscores the presence of active buying interest, with price action now testing the first resistance threshold near $0.42. Sustained movement above this level could open the path toward $0.45–$0.52, a region representing both psychological and technical resistance.
Source: TradingView
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) currently registers at 0.12, indicating consistent capital inflows and a firm shift toward accumulation. This positive reading supports the view that market participants are positioning for further upside, reflecting increasing confidence in the asset’s medium-term trend.
Meanwhile, the MACD indicator shows a developing bullish crossover, with the MACD line at 0.0043 rising above the signal line at -0.0003. The histogram’s positive reading of 0.0045 reinforces growing momentum. Together, these signals point toward improving sentiment and the potential for an upward continuation if trading volumes expand in the coming sessions.