The XRP price today continues to show strength, hovering near the crucial $3.05 level after rebounding from weekend lows around $2.95.
According to Brave New Coin data, XRP regained the $3 mark in early Asian trading on October 5, 2025, following a high-volume flushout that cleared overleveraged positions. The move was quickly met with strong buying interest from whales and retail traders alike.
Analyst Kamran Asghar highlighted a head-and-shoulders reversal pattern forming on the XRP/USDT daily chart, identifying the $3.70 neckline as a key breakout level. The analysis suggests that a move above this threshold could confirm a bullish reversal pattern, potentially paving the way for an advance toward the $4.00–$4.20 zone.
Technical Setup Points Toward $3.70-$4.00 Resistance
The current XRP price faces resistance between $3.10 and $3.30, a range now viewed as the market’s key battleground. A sustained close above this area could open the path to the $4.00–$4.20 region, where many traders expect the next leg of upward momentum.
Analysts are closely monitoring XRP’s $3.70 neckline for signs of a potential bullish reversal. Source: @Karman_1s via X
From a technical perspective, XRP maintains a bullish structure on higher timeframes. The inverse head-and-shoulders neckline at $3.70 remains the central focus for analysts projecting a potential rally toward $4.80. On-chain data shows increasing whale accumulation during the recent correction, with exchange inflows topping 160 million XRP tokens in the past week.
The RSI indicator currently sits in the mid-50s, suggesting a neutral-to-bullish bias, while the MACD inches closer to a bullish crossover — both signaling growing buying pressure.
XRP ETF Speculation Adds Fuel to the Rally
October’s market optimism is being shaped by growing anticipation around potential XRP spot ETF approvals. Reports from Cointelegraph and Nasdaq highlight that seven Grayscale XRP ETF applications remain under review, with an October decision window that could serve as a “binary event” for the fourth quarter.
XRP was trading at around $3.01, up 0.91% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP price via Brave New Coin
Crypto trader @amonbuy shared a logarithmic XRP price chart covering 2013–2025, pointing out an ascending triangle pattern forming near $3—historically a bullish continuation setup. The analyst suggested that ETF-related developments could “amplify institutional inflows and send XRP toward $5.89 if momentum sustains.”
However, some market participants remain cautious, citing XRP’s volatile history and previous delays tied to the SEC lawsuit. While trading volume is down 15% year-over-year, the price of XRP continues to hold above $2.80—a sign of underlying demand and resilience.
Ripple’s Global Expansion Strengthens Long-Term Outlook
Beyond the charts, Ripple’s latest partnerships and ecosystem developments continue to reinforce confidence in Ripple XRP fundamentals. In Japan, Ripple’s strategic partner SBI Holdings recently expanded its XRP-backed lending program, strengthening the asset’s utility across Asian financial markets.
This expansion aligns with Ripple’s broader goal of improving cross-border payment efficiency through the XRP Ledger, a key component of its long-term roadmap. Analysts believe that increased institutional integration in Asia could serve as a major tailwind for XRP adoption.
Key Levels to Watch and Market Drivers
In the short term, traders are monitoring whether XRP can maintain closes above $3.00 and establish a higher base toward $3.30–$3.50. A successful breakout above $3.70 would likely confirm the head-and-shoulders reversal and signal the start of a sustained bullish trend.
Analyst @amonbuy highlights a potential XRP breakout, citing a long-term chart showing an ascending triangle near $3 that signals growing bullish momentum. Source: Amonyx via X
Meanwhile, broader market sentiment remains influenced by macroeconomic factors such as the Federal Reserve’s dovish policy stance and renewed liquidity inflows from Asian markets — both of which could bolster risk appetite across the crypto sector.
Support and Resistance Summary
- Support: $2.95–$3.00 zone remains the short-term floor.
- Resistance: $3.30 immediate barrier; breakout zone near $3.70.
- Target Range: $4.00–$4.80 if neckline breakout holds.
Outlook: Cautious Optimism Ahead of Key ETF Decision
As traders await the SEC’s October 18 decision on pending ETF filings, XRP’s price dynamics may continue to fluctuate sharply. While bullish sentiment dominates social media discussions, analysts urge caution until the market confirms a decisive breakout above the $3.70 neckline.
Still, the broader narrative remains constructive. With Ripple’s legal clarity post-XRP SEC lawsuit, growing institutional interest, and expanding global partnerships, many traders view XRP as one of the top altcoins to watch in Q4 2025.