NEAR Could Rise Toward $2.80–$2.90 Amid TVL Decline and Rising Spot Inflows

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NEAR Protocol plunged after large on-chain outflows pushed Total Value Locked (TVL) down 12% to $165M, cutting daily transactions to 4.3M. Spot buyers absorbed $21.75M this week, while liquidation clusters above $2.65 set an upside target of $2.80–$2.90 for NEAR price.

• TVL dropped 12% to $165M after $20.5M outflows — daily transactions hit 4.3M.

• Spot investors bought $21.59M this week, offsetting some selling pressure.

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Liquidation clusters above $2.65 suggest a possible rally to $2.80–$2.90 if buyers trigger longs.

Meta description: NEAR Protocol TVL fell 12% to $165M after $20.5M outflows; spot inflows and liquidation clusters suggest a potential move to $2.80–$2.90. Read analysis.

What caused NEAR Protocol’s recent slump?

NEAR Protocol fell after substantial on-chain outflows drove a 12% drop in Total Value Locked (TVL) and $20.5 million in token sales. Lower on-chain activity coincided with daily transactions sliding to 4.3 million, signaling reduced network demand and short-term deleveraging by large holders.

How much did TVL and transactions change?

TVL sank to $165 million, a 12% decline in 24 hours tied to $20.5M of outflows, per DeFiLlama data. Daily transactions fell to September’s low of 4.3 million, indicating fewer protocol interactions and reduced demand pressure on NEAR tokens.

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Key Takeaways

• Market health: TVL fell 12% to $165M, driven by major outflows.
• Buyer activity: Spot investors accumulated $21.59M this week, offering support.
• Price risk/reward: Liquidation clusters above $2.65 imply a potential upside to $2.80–$2.90 if longs are swept.

NEAR Protocol [NEAR] experienced a sharp downturn on 26 September as on-chain investors initiated heavy outflows, producing an 8% intraday drop. Retail and spot buyers countered by increasing accumulation from exchanges, partially offsetting sell pressure.

TVL sinks as transactions fall

TVL — a key gauge of protocol health — tumbled by 12% within 24 hours, translating to roughly $20.5 million in token withdrawals and reducing Total Value Locked to $165 million.

Source: DeFiLlama

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Lower transaction counts accompanied the TVL fall. Daily transactions dropped to 4.3 million — September’s low — suggesting fewer users interacting with NEAR-based apps and smart contracts.

Off-chain investors fight back

Spot inflows showed continued accumulation. Spot investors bought $3.3 million on 26 September and roughly $21.59 million over the week, indicating retail and exchange-side demand countering on-chain sell-offs.

Source: CoinGlass

Protocol revenue also ticked higher during the period. Artemis data indicated NEAR’s protocol revenue rose, while DEX trading volume remained near $53 million — consistent with the prior day and signaling ongoing network utility.

What’s next for NEAR?

On-chain liquidation maps for Binance NEAR/USDT showed dense long-side clusters above $2.65 and relatively thin short-side exposure. That asymmetry makes price action vulnerable to an upside squeeze if buyers push through long-pocket levels.

Source: CoinGlass

NEAR traded at approximately $2.65 on 26 September. If liquidation pockets above that level are triggered, technical pressure could push the price toward $2.80–$2.90 before market participants reassess positions and volumes.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does TVL affect NEAR price?

TVL reflects capital locked in the protocol; a falling TVL often signals withdrawals and weakening user activity, which can depress NEAR’s price by reducing demand for staking, liquidity, and protocol services.

Are spot inflows enough to stop the decline?

Spot inflows can provide short-term support. NEAR’s $21.59M weekly spot accumulation helped offset selling, but sustained price recovery requires renewed on-chain activity and higher DEX volume.

What price levels should traders watch?

Traders should monitor long liquidations above $2.65 and potential resistance at $2.80–$2.90. A decisive move above those pockets could trigger a short squeeze; a drop under recent support would increase downside risk.

Who reported the data in this analysis?

Data referenced in this report came from DeFiLlama (TVL), CoinGlass (spot flows & liquidation maps), and Artemis (protocol revenue) — all mentioned as plain-text sources for verification.

When was this article published and who authored it?

This analysis was produced by COINOTAG and reflects on-chain and off-chain activity reported on 26 September 2025. Publication date: 2025-09-26; last updated: 2025-09-26.

Conclusion

NEAR Protocol’s drop was driven by significant on-chain outflows that reduced TVL and transaction activity. Spot buyers have absorbed sizeable inflows this week, and liquidation clusters above $2.65 create a clear upside target of $2.80–$2.90 if buyers force long liquidations. Monitor TVL, daily transactions, and exchange netflows for the next directional signals.

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