TRX Price Prediction: TRON Eyes $0.36 Breakout Despite Bearish Momentum

TRON (TRX) presents a compelling technical setup as September 2025 concludes, with the cryptocurrency trading at $0.33 amid conflicting analyst predictions and mixed technical indicators. Despite recent bearish momentum, TRX price prediction models suggest potential for a significant move in either direction, making this a critical juncture for traders and investors.

TRX Price Prediction Summary

• TRX short-term target (1 week): $0.356 (+7.4% from current levels)
• TRON medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.319 – $0.37 range with bias toward $0.35
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.36 (Bollinger Band upper resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.30 (immediate support confluence)

Recent TRON Price Predictions from Analysts

The cryptocurrency analysis community shows divergent views on TRON’s immediate trajectory. Changelly’s conservative TRX price prediction targets $0.319, representing a modest decline from current levels, based on their short-term technical model expecting weakness through late July 2025. This bearish outlook contrasts sharply with CoinCodex’s more optimistic TRON forecast, which projects a 7.44% rally to $0.356 by October 5, 2025.

The most bullish perspective comes from PricePredictions.com, whose medium-term analysis suggests TRX could reach an average price of $1.06 for September 2025 – a target that appears increasingly ambitious given current market conditions. This represents over 220% upside from current levels, indicating either exceptional confidence in TRON’s fundamental catalysts or potential overoptimism in their modeling.

The consensus among analysts appears to favor modest upside in the near term, with the $0.35-$0.36 zone emerging as a critical resistance area that could determine TRON’s next major directional move.

TRX Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Breakout Attempt

TRON technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency at an inflection point, with several key indicators providing mixed but increasingly constructive signals. The RSI reading of 43.49 places TRX in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions – a setup that often precedes significant directional moves.

The MACD histogram at -0.0011 indicates bearish momentum remains intact, but the magnitude is minimal and showing signs of potential reversal. With TRX trading at the lower end of its Bollinger Bands (0.30 position), the cryptocurrency appears oversold on a relative basis, potentially setting up for a mean reversion move toward the middle band at $0.34.

Volume analysis shows robust trading activity with $134.5 million in 24-hour volume on Binance, indicating sustained institutional and retail interest despite the recent 1.68% decline. The fact that TRX has held above the critical $0.32 lower Bollinger Band support suggests underlying demand remains strong.

Moving average convergence around the $0.34 level creates a significant technical cluster, with the SMA 7, 20, and 50 all converging at this price point. This convergence often acts as either strong support during uptrends or resistance during corrections.

TRON Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for TRX

The primary bullish TRX price target centers on a breakout above the $0.36 Bollinger Band upper resistance. Such a move would likely trigger momentum-based buying, potentially driving TRON toward the $0.37 level – its 52-week high and a psychologically significant resistance zone.

For this bullish scenario to materialize, TRX needs to demonstrate sustained buying pressure above the $0.34 moving average cluster while the RSI moves above 50 to confirm positive momentum shift. A successful break of $0.36 with volume expansion could open the path toward the more aggressive analyst targets in the $0.40-$0.50 range.

The bullish case gains credibility if Bitcoin and broader cryptocurrency markets maintain their current stability, as TRON often follows major market trends while occasionally outperforming during altcoin rotation periods.

Bearish Risk for TRON

The primary downside risk for this TRX price prediction involves a breakdown below the $0.32 lower Bollinger Band, which would signal a potential test of the $0.30 support level. This level represents both immediate technical support and a psychologically important round number.

A decisive break below $0.30 would invalidate the current bullish structure and potentially trigger a deeper correction toward the $0.28-$0.29 zone, where the 200-day moving average provides longer-term support. Such a scenario would align with Changelly’s bearish forecast and could see TRX testing yearly lows near $0.21.

Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, regulatory concerns affecting TRON’s ecosystem, or technical selling pressure if the MACD bearish divergence intensifies.

Should You Buy TRX Now? Entry Strategy

Based on current TRON technical analysis, the optimal entry strategy involves a tiered approach targeting key support and resistance levels. Conservative buyers should consider initiating positions near the $0.32-$0.33 zone, with additional accumulation on any dip toward $0.30.

More aggressive traders might wait for a confirmed breakout above $0.36 before entering, accepting higher entry prices in exchange for greater confirmation of bullish momentum. This approach aligns with the “buy or sell TRX” decision framework that prioritizes risk management over perfect timing.

Stop-loss placement should be positioned below $0.30 for long positions, representing approximately 9% downside risk from current levels. Position sizing should account for TRON’s daily ATR of $0.01, suggesting potential daily volatility of 3-4%.

Take-profit targets should be set at $0.356 for short-term trades (matching CoinCodex projections) and $0.37 for swing positions targeting the 52-week high retest.

TRX Price Prediction Conclusion

The TRON forecast for the coming weeks suggests a cryptocurrency positioned for a potential breakout attempt, with technical indicators showing early signs of stabilization after recent weakness. Our base case TRX price prediction targets the $0.356 level within 10-14 days, representing a medium-confidence forecast based on current technical setup and analyst consensus.

Key indicators to monitor include RSI movement above 50 for momentum confirmation, MACD histogram improvement toward positive territory, and volume expansion on any move above $0.35. Invalidation signals would include a breakdown below $0.30 or sustained trading below the moving average cluster at $0.34.

The timeline for this prediction extends through mid-October 2025, with the October 5 date cited by CoinCodex serving as a reasonable target for initial price objectives. Traders should remain flexible as TRON’s ultimate direction will likely depend on broader cryptocurrency market sentiment and any fundamental developments within the TRON ecosystem.

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