Ripple’s XRP is back in the spotlight as analysts warn that a decisive move around the $1.91 support could determine whether the token climbs toward the $4.43–$7.90 range.
This outlook comes as Elliott Wave projections, historical accumulation patterns, and fresh U.S. regulatory momentum converge, sparking debate over whether XRP is preparing for a major breakout or facing another correction.
Historical Patterns Highlight Risks
The XRP chart also carries a note of caution. Analysts warn of a possible wave-B corrective phase, which historically has led to steep drawdowns. XRP’s history underscores the risk: in 2018, the price of XRP collapsed by nearly 80% after hitting its peak of $3.84.
The analyst says XRP is following the “3 Red Week Down Rule,” with strategies based on historical and technical analysis yielding strong gains. Source: Strangely-accurate on TradingView
Data from TradingView reinforces the long-term accumulation trend, showing that XRP has been consolidating in an 8-year accumulation pattern. Whether this cycle resolves into a breakout or further downside remains a pressing question for investors following the latest XRP news today.
Political and Regulatory Tailwinds
Beyond chart patterns, politics and regulation could play a decisive role in shaping the XRP price forecast. On September 22, 2025, TradingView News reported on fresh bipartisan moves in Washington aimed at advancing crypto regulation. The shift challenges the perception of an unregulated market and may set the stage for more institutional adoption of Ripple XRP.
This comes as the market anticipates decisions on several XRP-spot ETF applications, with issuers such as Grayscale, WisdomTree, and CoinShares awaiting approval. Analysts argue that a favorable decision could dramatically boost demand and even lay the foundation for a potential Grayscale XRP ETF product.
Market Trends and Technical Signals
Recent weeks have seen turbulence for Ripple XRP price movements. After testing above $3, the token dropped sharply, mirroring the broader crypto pullback. Technical analysts noted that a double top near $3.10 has acted as firm resistance, while support zones near $2.70–$2.80 have so far contained the decline.
XRP was trading at around $2.86, up 1.80% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP price via Brave New Coin
Indicators, however, suggest that selling pressure may be easing. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered oversold territory, hinting at potential recovery. At the same time, the MACD histogram is flashing early signs of momentum returning, which could support a near-term rebound in the XRP current price.
Analyst Outlook: $1.91 Holds the Key
For market participants tracking XRP price prediction today, the $1.91 level is now seen as pivotal. Analysts argue that maintaining this threshold could pave the way for a broader recovery into the $4.43–$7.90 range.
XRP’s bullish outlook remains intact above $1.91, with a potential cycle target of $4.43–$7.90 despite the risk of another wave-B low. Source: @Manofbitcoin via X
A sustained move above resistance at $3.10 would further strengthen the bullish thesis. “XRP must hold $1.91 to confirm bullish continuation. If that level fails, a corrective phase could unfold before the next upward cycle begins,” the @Manofbitcoin post explained.
Long-Term Forecasts and Investor Sentiment
Looking ahead, optimism persists among investors focused on XRP prediction 2025. Some analysts believe macroeconomic conditions, such as U.S. interest rate cuts and the possibility of crypto integration into 401(k) retirement accounts, could provide significant tailwinds for XRP and the broader market.
Meanwhile, the conclusion of the long-running XRP SEC lawsuit continues to shape sentiment. The resolution earlier this year cleared major regulatory uncertainty, and fresh XRP SEC news suggests that Ripple is positioning for growth, including pursuing a potential Ripple IPO and a U.S.-chartered banking license.
Final Thoughts
The outlook for Ripple’s XRP remains finely balanced. While historical volatility and resistance levels present challenges, analysts emphasize that the price of XRP could rally strongly if support at $1.91 remains intact. With regulatory developments, ETF approvals, and macroeconomic shifts all on the horizon, traders are watching closely to see whether XRP can consolidate and push toward the $4.43–$7.90 price target in the coming months.