Ethereum price faces a critical inflection: growing bearish positioning on Binance and low taker buy activity contrast with $1.6B in stablecoin inflows, creating conditions for either a sharp correction or a rapid short squeeze that could propel ETH higher if buying resumes.
Binance taker buy/sell ratio slipped below 0.87, signaling strong bearish positioning
Stablecoin inflows to Ethereum totaled roughly $1.6 billion in 24 hours, indicating latent buying power.
Historical parallels show similar sentiment preceded both deep pullbacks and short squeezes earlier this year.
Ethereum price outlook: watch support at $4,460 and resistance near $4,495 — act with risk controls. Read on for levels, context, and trading preparation.
What is the current Ethereum price outlook?
Ethereum price is at a critical junction: heavy short positioning on Binance and depressed buy activity increase correction risk, while $1.6 billion in stablecoin inflows point to meaningful buying power that could trigger a swift rebound or a short squeeze if demand returns.
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Why are ETH traders turning bearish on Binance?
Binance data showed the taker buy/sell ratio dip below 0.87 on September 19, indicating stronger sell-side execution. This level occurred only twice earlier this year and coincided with sharp moves. Source: CryptoQuant and exchange on-chain metrics.
Source: CryptoQuant
When taker buy/sell ratios reach extreme lows, markets can behave two ways: (1) a correction driven by momentum and liquidations, or (2) a rapid squeeze higher if concentrated short positions are forced to cover. January and February lows in the same metric preceded declines below $1,500, emphasizing downside risk.
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Stablecoin supply on Ethereum recently hit about $173 billion, up roughly $50 billion year-to-date. In the latest 24-hour window, approximately $1.6 billion in stablecoins moved into ETH positions, suggesting substantial latent demand that could amplify any bullish catalyst. Source: Token Terminal and on-chain stablecoin metrics.
Short-term support sits near $4,460 with immediate resistance around $4,495. A confirmed break above $4,495 may push price toward $4,550, while a drop below $4,460 could open a path to $4,400 and lower. RSI is neutral; MACD shows slight bearish bias but lacks trend conviction. Source: TradingView chart analysis.
Projecting a move to $10,000 requires sustained inflows, macro support, and renewed retail/institutional demand; current on-chain stablecoin holdings provide fuel, but such a target remains speculative and depends on multiple market drivers.
Use stop-loss orders, position size limits, and consider layered entries; hedge with inverse products if appropriate. Keep stop levels outside noise around $4,460 and reassess if liquidity conditions change.
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