BTC Price Prediction: Bitcoin Eyes $136,000 by October as MACD Signals Bullish Breakout

BTC Price Prediction Summary

• BTC short-term target (1 week): $119,500-$121,000 (+3-4%)
• Bitcoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $130,000-$136,000 range
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $117,900
• Critical support if bearish: $113,260 (SMA 20)

Recent Bitcoin Price Predictions from Analysts

The cryptocurrency analyst community shows a fascinating divergence in their Bitcoin forecast models. While U.Today presents a conservative BTC price prediction targeting $113,000-$114,000 in the short term based on a potential false breakout scenario, AMB Crypto’s analysis suggests a much more optimistic Bitcoin forecast with targets around $136,081 for September 2025.

The most ambitious prediction comes from CoinCodex, projecting Bitcoin could reach $177,384 by year-end, representing a potential 180% increase from current levels. This wide range in predictions reflects the inherent volatility and uncertainty in crypto markets, but the consensus appears to favor upward momentum over the medium to long term.

What’s particularly noteworthy is that even the most bearish short-term BTC price prediction from U.Today still places Bitcoin well above psychological support levels, suggesting underlying strength in the market structure.

BTC Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Continuation

The current Bitcoin technical analysis reveals a compelling setup favoring upward momentum. With BTC trading at $116,133, the price sits comfortably above the critical SMA 20 at $113,260, indicating the medium-term trend remains intact.

The MACD histogram reading of 542.5442 provides strong evidence of bullish momentum building beneath the surface. This positive divergence, combined with the MACD line trading well above its signal line, suggests buyers are accumulating positions ahead of a potential breakout.

Bitcoin’s position at 0.76 within the Bollinger Bands indicates the cryptocurrency is approaching the upper band resistance at $118,796, but hasn’t yet reached overbought territory. The RSI reading of 57.15 supports this view, sitting in neutral territory with room to move higher before triggering overbought signals.

The daily ATR of $2,313 suggests Bitcoin maintains healthy volatility levels, providing sufficient momentum for meaningful price moves in either direction.

Bitcoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for BTC

The primary upside BTC price target aligns with the AMB Crypto forecast of $136,000, which represents a logical extension of current technical patterns. For this scenario to unfold, Bitcoin must first clear the immediate resistance at $117,900, followed by the stronger resistance zone at $124,474.

A successful break above $117,900 on strong volume would likely trigger algorithmic buying and momentum traders, potentially pushing BTC toward the $121,000-$124,000 range within 7-10 days. The ultimate target of $136,000 becomes achievable if Bitcoin can sustain momentum above the $124,474 resistance level.

Technical indicators supporting this bullish Bitcoin forecast include the positive MACD divergence, price trading above key moving averages, and the potential for a Bollinger Band squeeze breakout to the upside.

Bearish Risk for Bitcoin

The primary downside risk centers around the $113,260 support level, which coincides with the 20-period SMA. Should Bitcoin fail to maintain this crucial BTC price target support, a decline toward $107,255 becomes probable.

The bearish scenario would align with U.Today’s prediction of a move toward $113,000-$114,000, particularly if daily candles begin closing below current levels with increasing volume. A break below $107,255 would signal a more significant correction, potentially targeting the $103,217 area near the 200-period SMA.

Key warning signs for this bearish outcome would include RSI breaking below 50, MACD histogram turning negative, and volume patterns showing distribution rather than accumulation.

Should You Buy BTC Now? Entry Strategy

Based on current Bitcoin technical analysis, the optimal entry strategy involves waiting for a confirmed break above $117,900 before initiating long positions. This level has acted as resistance in recent trading and represents the gateway to higher targets.

For aggressive traders, current levels around $116,000 offer a reasonable risk-reward setup with a stop-loss placed below $113,260. This provides approximately 2.5% downside risk while targeting 15-20% upside potential toward the $136,000 BTC price target.

Conservative investors should consider dollar-cost averaging into positions, with initial entries at current levels and additional purchases on any dips toward $114,000-$115,000. Position sizing should account for Bitcoin’s inherent volatility, with most portfolios limiting BTC exposure to 5-10% of total holdings.

BTC Price Prediction Conclusion

The technical evidence strongly supports a bullish Bitcoin forecast over the next 4-6 weeks, with a high confidence target of $136,000 by late October. The combination of positive MACD momentum, strategic positioning within Bollinger Bands, and price action above key moving averages creates a compelling setup for upward movement.

The key catalyst will be Bitcoin’s ability to decisively break above $117,900 resistance. Success at this level should trigger momentum buying toward $124,474, with the ultimate BTC price target of $136,000 becoming increasingly probable.

Traders should monitor the RSI for any signs of divergence above 70, MACD histogram for momentum confirmation, and volume patterns for validation of any breakout attempts. The prediction carries a HIGH confidence level for reaching $130,000+ within the next month, provided Bitcoin maintains support above $113,260.

The timeline for this Bitcoin forecast extends through mid to late October 2025, with interim targets likely achieved within the next 2-3 weeks if momentum continues building at current levels.

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