XRP has just secured its biggest milestone yet in U.S. markets: the arrival of a spot exchange-traded fund.
The product, issued by REX-Osprey and listed on the CBOE under the ticker XRPR, is launching alongside a Dogecoin fund — though all eyes are fixed on Ripple’s token.
The significance of this listing goes beyond another ETF debut. Market strategists argue that XRPR will serve as a crucial test of whether investor demand extends beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, which have dominated the ETF spotlight. Nate Geraci of Nova Dius Wealth described the fund as a “litmus test” for institutional interest in alternative digital assets.
Billions at Stake
Projections for inflows vary, but the consensus is that large sums could be involved. Some analysts believe between 1% and 4% of XRP’s entire circulating supply may shift into ETFs within the first year, translating to billions of dollars in demand. CryptoQuant’s Julio Moreno suggested that could mean as much as $7 billion absorbed by institutional portfolios, significantly boosting liquidity.
Others are even more bullish. Jamie Elkaleh of Bitget told CryptoSlate that inflows of $4–8 billion are realistic in year one, predicting such momentum could drive XRP’s price into the $4–8 zone by year-end. He pointed to the precedent of Bitcoin ETFs, which drew over $100 billion in their opening year, and Ethereum ETFs, which attracted more than $10 billion in just three months.
The Role of Fees and Access
Not everyone is betting on runaway success. Analysts at Bitunix stressed that practical factors — such as ETF fees and distribution reach — will play a decisive role. In their baseline scenario, the fund could capture up to $3 billion in its first quarter. Under less favorable conditions, inflows might not exceed a few hundred million. Conversely, if costs remain low and access is broad, inflows could surge past $5 billion in the same timeframe.
One potential advantage for XRP is the absence of a “trust conversion overhang,” which weighed on Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF launches by distorting early inflow numbers. This could give XRP a cleaner runway to measure genuine demand.
Why It Matters
The ETF’s launch may end up being remembered as a turning point for Ripple’s token, which has long battled for legitimacy within regulated markets. If XRPR succeeds in attracting billions, it could accelerate approval for other altcoin-linked ETFs still waiting in line and cement XRP’s role as more than just a payments-focused cryptocurrency.
The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Coindoo.com does not endorse or recommend any specific investment strategy or cryptocurrency. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Source: https://coindoo.com/analysts-say-new-xrp-etf-could-absorb-billions-in-first-year/