Dogecoin Price Tests $0.25 Resistance Ahead of First Meme Coin ETF in US

Dogecoin (DOGE) price advanced on September 11 as Rex‑Osprey planned a U.S. DOGE ETF listing for September 12. The move occurred in the United States, and followed supportive macro signals.

Drivers Behind the Dogecoin Price Move

The Dogecoin price rose more than 15% in the past week and over 4% in the last 24 hours, holding recent gains after consolidating above $0.21 last week.

Traders cited a cooler August Producer Price Index in the United States. Several analysts priced in rate cuts at next week’s FOMC meeting.

Derivatives activity also increased. CoinGlass data showed DOGE futures open interest near $4.6 Billion at the time of writing.

Short‑term charts displayed a bullish pennant after a sharp advance. A pennant marked a brief consolidation that often resolved in the prior trend’s direction.

This setup pointed to a measured objective near $0.275 on continuation. Traders used measured moves by applying the prior flagpole’s height to the breakout.

Macro relief helped sentiment in higher beta assets. Lower inflation expectations reduced fears of tighter financial conditions.

Traders described improved breadth across large tokens. Cross‑asset correlations with equities also firmed during the session.

Bulls referenced a series of higher lows on intraday charts. That sequence suggested buyers controlled momentum into the event.

Open interest clustered on large exchanges in the Americas and Asia. Shorter‑dated contracts logged the biggest activity during the session.

Analyst Target and the Doge Price Trigger

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez set a higher target if buying pressure expanded. He said a clear break above $0.29 with strong volume could unlock momentum.

Source: X

That level marked a heavy supply zone on recent charts. Resistance described a price area where sellers concentrated and capped rallies.

A DOGE price breakout required a decisive close and expanding turnover. Those traits helped confirm participation beyond intraday noise.

If buyers forced that move, Martinez’s map pointed toward around $0.50. He framed that target as a doubling from recent levels.

Traders monitored follow‑through on the four‑hour and daily timeframes. Confirmation on multiple windows often improved conviction in trend continuation.

Volume acted as the key confirmation tool for Martinez’s roadmap. He looked for sustained turnover above recent averages on the breakout.

Technicians also watched moving averages on the four‑hour chart. A rising 20‑EMA often supported short‑term trends during rallies.

An exponential moving average weights recent prices more heavily. That construction reacted faster than a simple average during momentum shifts.

Momentum gauges, like RSI, have already improved over the week. RSI measured the speed of price changes around a baseline.

Traders also observed the volume profile around $0.27 to $0.30. A thick node often required sustained demand to absorb resting sell orders.

What to Watch Next for Volatility

Rex‑Osprey scheduled to list its Dogecoin ETF in the United States on Friday, September 12. The firm also targeted listings for XRP, BONK, TRUMP, and Bitcoin (BTC) products.

Those products cleared the SEC’s 75‑day review window, according to the firm. The structure aimed to give retail and institutions easier access to token exposure.

Source: X

Event risk often raises volatility around listing days. Liquidity conditions sometimes changed when trading opened and hedging flows met demand.

ETF mechanics could influence the basis between spot and futures. Market makers hedged creations and redemptions by using derivatives on DOGE.

Traders prepared for headline risk around bell time. Spreads sometimes widened during the first minutes of trading.

Technicians focused on nearby levels that defined risk. Immediate support sat near last week’s swing low around $0.21, while initial resistance overlapped $0.29.

Failure to reclaim that area kept the pattern vulnerable to retracements. A close above it kept continuation targets, including the measured move, in play.

Calendar risk did not stop at the listing date. The FOMC decision next week also holds potential to move higher‑beta tokens.

Liquidity providers adjusted quotes as volatility regimes changed. Wider spreads often reduced position sizes for systematic strategies.

Macro inputs still mattered for beta assets like DOGE. Rates expectations, risk appetite, and liquidity trends shaped flows across tokens.

Traders also tracked social activity and options positioning into the event. Those factors sometimes amplify spot swings when catalysts hit order books.

Source: https://www.thecoinrepublic.com/2025/09/11/dogecoin-price-tests-0-25-resistance-ahead-of-first-u-s-meme-coin-etf/