Over $4 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expiring After US CPI

Bitcoin and Ethereum saw a remarkable surge after weak US jobs data and cooling inflation eased fears and improved Fed rate cut hopes. The crypto market faces over $4 billion in BTC and ETH options expiry on Friday, after the key CPI inflation data.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expiry

More than 28,000 BTC options with a notional value of $3.22 billion expire on September 12, according to Deribit data. The put-call ratio is 1.23, indicating bearish sentiment among traders as put bets surprisingly rise while the price of BTC jumped above $114,000 after almost 3 weeks.

At the time of writing, put volume was 14,972 as compared to call volume 14,040, with a put/call ratio of 1.06. This signals that options traders are pessimistic about a further rally in Bitcoin.

Moreover, the max pain price is at $112,000. Options traders may look to bring BTC down towards the max pain point, with puts clustered around $100,000-108,000 strike price.

BTC Open Interest By Strike Price
BTC Options Open Interest. Source: Deribit

Meanwhile, over 185,000 ETH options with a notional value of $0.82 billion are set to expire on Deribit, with a put-call ratio of 0.97. A put-call ratio near 1 shows negative sentiment among traders.

In the last 24 hours, put/call ratio climbed to 1.50 as the put volume was significantly higher at 106,987 than the call volume of 71,691 at publishing time.

Moreover, the max pain price is at $4,400, still below the current ETH price of $4,435. Also, the $4,400 strike price has higher total call options bets of $37.51 million over $11.36 million in put options. This suggests a potential downward bias for ETH, as call buyers will likely aim to drive the price to the level that minimizes their losses.

 

ETH Options open Interest ETH Options open Interest
ETH Options Open Interest. Source: Deribit

BTC and ETH Price Action

Analysts anticipate BTC and ETH rallies in the coming weeks amid multiple catalysts, including ETF inflows, imminent Fed rate cuts next week, and bullish technical chart patterns. Traders expect a further Bitcoin price rally due to a triangle pattern breakout recently.

 

However, implied volatility in the options market shows a slight decline, according to options trading platform Greekslive. Moreover, options traders are considering relatively low volatility in the future. Deribit trade activity reveals trades concentrated for the current month, with active buying and selling occurring at similar rates.

BTC price trades near the $114,000 level after soft PPI data, with a 24-hour low and high of $112,181 and $114,471, respectively. Meanwhile, ETH price is up more than 2% amid higher trading volume, with the price currently trading at $4,430.

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Varinder Singh

Varinder is a seasoned leader in the fintech and crypto media with over 12 years of experience, including over 6 years dedicated to blockchain, crypto, and Web3 developments. He is known for covering high-impact and quality news stories for publishers such as CoinGape, The Coin Republic, and The Crypto Times, while perfecting and training multiple journalists during his tenure. Being a Master of Technology degree holder, analytics thinker, and tech enthusiast, he has shared his knowledge of disruptive technologies in over 5000 news articles and papers.

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