Key Insights:
- In the latest XRP news, Germany’s Frankfurt Stock Exchange discusses the possibility of a spot XRP ETF approval in October.
- XRP ETF launch probability jumped from 64% in August to 93% as per the latest data.
- The odd probability improved amid a flurry of developments in the Ripple market.
XRP ETF applications might receive the green light in October. The latest XRP news revealed rising chatter around ETF prospects, which have unsurprisingly led to high expectations.
The main reason for the ETF chatter was that most of the companies that submitted applications are scheduled for decision dates in October. However, the latest XRP news revealed that the ETF expectations were validated by Germany’s stock exchange.
Frankfurt Stock Exchange officials have reportedly been discussing the possibility of spot XRP ETF approvals. A recent recording also revealed that they have been speculating that the XRP price will likely rally post-approvals.
XRP News: ETF Approval Probabilities Jump Back Over 90%
Polymarket registered a significant uptick in XRP ETF expectations. The probability of XRP ETF approvals before the end of 2025 jumped as high as 94% in the last 24 hours.
For context, the probability previously dipped as low as 64% at its lowest point in August.
This latest uptick marked the second-highest after its spike on June 3. Meanwhile, the bullish expectations around XRP ETF approvals were largely because numerous institutions have expressed interest in holding XRP.
However, those expectations do not always lead to the expected outcome, as was the case with Ethereum ETFs. Price rallied days before the approvals were announced, and price retreated after the announcement.
A similar outcome may occur in XRP’s case, especially if there will be a lot of leverage tied to those expectations.
XRP Price Readies for Major Moves
XRP price kicked off this week on a bullish leg after previously experiencing some sideways price action. It exchanged hands at $2.97, which was roughly 7% from its lowest weekly price point.
This latest bullish attempt also resulted in the retest of a key descending 3-month resistance level. A breakout from this level could potentially pave the way for another explosive rally, just as was the case in July.
A strong breakout might allow XRP to rally above $5 in Q4 2025. Polymarket predicted that there was a 42% chance that the price would soar above $4 before the end of the year. However, those probabilities will likely be much higher if XRP ETFs receive the green light.
Ripple and SBI Group Sign Deal to Bring Ripple’s RLUSD into Japan
Ripple has reportedly signed an MOU with Tokyo-based SBI Holdings, Inc., enabling RLUSD’s rollout in Japan. SBI Trade CEO Tomohiko Kondo noted that his company was the first to secure the Payment Instrument Services license in Japan.
This means Ripple will benefit from low friction in regulatory compliance courtesy of its collaboration.
Meanwhile, RLUSD’s launch in Japan comes just as the stablecoin has been gaining popularity among institutional clients. This is mostly because the stablecoin has enterprise-grade earning services and compliance.
These factors also contributed to RLUSD’s rapid growth this year. Ripple had only 57 million RLUSD in circulation at the start of 2025. That figure has since jumped to 731 million RLUSD as per the latest data.
The stablecoin more than doubled in the last 4 months. It was on track to push above 1 billion RLUSD in circulation before the end of 2025 if it maintains the same aggressive growth trajectory seen in the last few months.
Analysts also believe that RLUSD’s growth and adoption may lead to more demand for XRP. The institutional focus in particular may flame the embers of institutional demand/adoption, especially once XRP ETFs receive regulatory approval.