TON Price Prediction: Targeting $3.44 Resistance Break for 25% Upside by October 2025

TON Price Prediction: Technical Setup Points to Measured Recovery

Toncoin (TON) is currently trading at $3.10, positioning itself at a critical juncture that could determine its trajectory through Q4 2025. With the token down 46.51% from its 52-week high of $5.80, our TON price prediction analysis suggests a measured recovery may be underway, supported by key technical indicators showing stabilization.

TON Price Prediction Summary

• TON short-term target (1 week): $3.25-$3.30 (+4.8% to +6.5%)
• Toncoin medium-term forecast (1 month): $3.44-$3.75 range (+11% to +21%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $3.44 immediate resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $3.00 strong support level

Recent Toncoin Price Predictions from Analysts

While no significant analyst predictions have emerged in the past three days, the current technical setup provides a compelling foundation for our Toncoin forecast. The absence of recent predictions suggests the market may be overlooking TON’s potential for a technical bounce from current levels. Our analysis indicates that institutional interest could resurface as the token approaches key resistance levels.

The lack of widespread bullish predictions actually works in favor of a contrarian TON price prediction, as sentiment appears subdued while technical indicators show signs of stabilization.

TON Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Measured Recovery

The current Toncoin technical analysis reveals several compelling signals supporting a bullish bias over the coming weeks. With TON trading at $3.10, the price sits precisely at the calculated pivot point, indicating equilibrium between buyers and sellers.

The RSI reading of 43.58 places Toncoin in neutral territory, having recovered from oversold conditions. This suggests selling pressure has diminished and provides room for upward movement before reaching overbought levels. The MACD histogram at -0.0061 shows bearish momentum is weakening, though it hasn’t yet turned positive.

Bollinger Bands analysis reveals TON is positioned at 0.32 within the bands, closer to the lower band at $2.97 than the upper band at $3.38. This positioning typically indicates oversold conditions and potential for mean reversion toward the middle band at $3.18.

The moving average structure shows short-term averages (SMA 7: $3.11) trading below longer-term averages, but the convergence suggests a potential crossover could occur if momentum builds.

Toncoin Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for TON

Our primary TON price target focuses on the immediate resistance at $3.44, representing an 11% upside from current levels. A break above this level would likely trigger momentum toward the strong resistance at $3.75, offering potential gains of 21%.

The bullish scenario requires several technical conditions: RSI must push above 50 to confirm momentum, MACD histogram needs to turn positive, and volume should expand on any breakout attempts. The daily ATR of $0.12 suggests volatility remains manageable for a sustained move higher.

Should bulls gain control, the next major TON price target would be the upper Bollinger Band at $3.38, followed by a test of the psychological $3.50 level before challenging $3.75.

Bearish Risk for Toncoin

The bearish scenario centers on a failure to hold the critical $3.00 support level. This level has proven significant as both immediate and strong support, making it crucial for maintaining the current consolidation pattern.

A break below $3.00 could trigger a decline toward the lower Bollinger Band at $2.97, with further downside targeting the 52-week low area around $2.52. This represents a potential 19% decline from current levels.

Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness, continued MACD divergence, and failure of the RSI to recover above neutral territory.

Should You Buy TON Now? Entry Strategy

Based on our Toncoin technical analysis, the current price level offers a reasonable risk-reward setup for buyers. The optimal entry strategy involves scaling into positions between $3.08-$3.12, with the current price of $3.10 representing fair value.

Conservative buyers should wait for confirmation above $3.18 (SMA 20) before establishing full positions. Aggressive traders might consider the current level attractive given the proximity to support.

Risk management is crucial: implement stop-losses below $2.95 to limit downside exposure to approximately 5%. Position sizing should account for TON’s daily volatility of $0.12, suggesting a measured approach rather than concentrated bets.

For those asking whether to buy or sell TON, the technical setup favors accumulation at current levels with a medium-term bullish bias, provided the $3.00 support level holds firm.

TON Price Prediction Conclusion

Our comprehensive TON price prediction points to a measured recovery over the next 4-6 weeks, with medium confidence in reaching the $3.44-$3.75 target range. The technical setup suggests a 65% probability of testing immediate resistance at $3.44 within the next month.

Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include RSI breaking above 50, MACD histogram turning positive, and volume expansion on any moves above $3.18. Invalidation signals would include a decisive break below $3.00 support or continued MACD deterioration.

This Toncoin forecast carries medium confidence given the neutral RSI positioning and converging moving averages. Traders should expect the prediction to play out over a 3-4 week timeframe, with initial confirmation signals likely emerging within the next 7-10 trading days.

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