Bank of America Foresees Fed Rate Cuts in 2025

Key Points:

  • Bank of America projects Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025 due to labor market underperformance.
  • Labor market data aligns with anticipated monetary easing policies.
  • Crypto assets potentially gain as liquidity shifts from fixed income.

On September 5, 2025, Bank of America projected two Federal Reserve rate cuts by 2025, a significant revision attributed to disappointing U.S. labor data.

This shift signals potential bullish trends for cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH, reflecting investor anticipation of favorable economic conditions triggered by aggressive monetary easing.

Bank of America Predicts 2025 Fed Rate Reductions

Bank of America has revised its interest rate policy forecast, foreseeing two reductions in Fed rates by 2025, prompted by disappointing U.S. August jobs data. Bradley Saunders, North America economist at Capital Economics, notes this aligns with labor market deteriorations confirmed by recent metrics.

The predicted rate cuts signal a shift to a more accommodative monetary stance. Economic implications include potential increases in investor appetite for riskier assets like BTC and ETH. Historically, such shifts affect crypto markets positively, as investors search for better yield opportunities.

“August’s Employment Report confirmed that the labor market has headed off a cliff-edge. While the weak 22,000 gain in non-farm payrolls in August confirms what already looked like a nailed-on rate cut at this month’s FOMC meeting, the limited rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3% will curb calls for a larger 50bp move.” — Bradley Saunders, source

Bitcoin’s Reaction to Potential Monetary Policy Shifts

Did you know? In similar past events, such as the mid-2019 monetary shifts, significant DeFi and crypto gains were observed, with risk assets rallying by 30-70% following dovish Fed policies.

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently valued at $111,217.44, with a market cap of $2.22 trillion and a market dominance of 58.03%. Over the past day, BTC’s price increased by 1.03%, with a 24-hour trading volume of approximately $58.74 billion, according to CoinMarketCap.

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Bitcoin(BTC), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 18:39 UTC on September 5, 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap

The Coincu research team predicts that potential rate cuts could enhance liquidity flows into the cryptocurrency space by prompting traditional investors to seek alternative yields. Past behaviors suggest increased allocations to digital assets during periods of reduced interest rates.

Source: https://coincu.com/markets/bofa-fed-rate-cuts-2025/