XRP Price Eyes Fragile Hope Amid Buyer–Seller Stalemate

XRP price is showing signs of fatigue. At $2.82, the token is flat over the last 24 hours after sliding nearly 7% in the past week and 6% over the past month. That puts short-term rebound hopes under pressure, even though the three-month gain of 32.5% keeps the broader trend technically bullish.

The fact that XRP barely moved in the last 24 hours tells the story: the spot market has locked into a range, with buyers and sellers battling in limbo.

Buyer–Seller Standoff Keeps XRP in Check

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Two momentum gauges tell the tale.

The Money Flow Index (MFI), which measures buying and selling strength based on volume, has trended higher. This usually signals that buyers are stepping in and accumulating on dips. But the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which tracks capital inflows versus outflows, has edged lower.

That divergence means money is technically entering the market (MFI up), yet broader flows still lean cautious (CMF down). Traders are buying, but not with conviction, as selling continues; a tug-of-war where neither side fully wins.

This is why the XRP price has been stuck in neutral over the past 24 hours: buyers absorb dips, sellers fade rallies, and the result is a stalemate. Until one side overwhelms the other, spot price action is unlikely to provide direction. But there is still hope for the XRP price,

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Derivatives Offer Short Squeeze Hope

If the spot market won’t decide, derivatives might.

Liquidation maps show a cluster of short positions stacked above $3.18. On Bitget alone, the past 30 days saw $1.79 billion in short liquidations versus just $617 million in longs. Binance shows a similar skew — $430 million shorts against $152 million longs. Across the top two venues, shorts have been 3x more vulnerable.

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This imbalance leaves room for a short squeeze. If the XRP price rallies back toward $3.00 and clears resistance, cascading short liquidations could add fuel, flipping a stalemate into a burst higher.

But risks run both ways. The largest long liquidation cluster sits at up to $2.69, right where a key XRP price support also lies. A clean break below that level could trigger forced selling from longs, dragging XRP into deeper correction territory.

XRP Price Action Outlook: $2.69 or $2.91 Will Decide

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For now, XRP price trades inside a descending triangle, a structure that leans bearish unless broken. Sellers remain in control of the pattern, keeping upside capped.

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The first sign of relief comes if the XRP price reclaims $2.91, which would weaken the triangle’s grip and reopen $3.00+. That’s also where shorts start sweating, as a majority of short liquidation clusters exist up to $3.00.

On the downside, losing $2.79 exposes $2.69. Beneath that, fresh local lows would open and long liquidations could cascade.

So the battle lines are drawn: buyers are quietly present but weak, sellers dominate the structure, and derivatives are the wild card. For now, the only real hope for bulls is that an overloaded short side gets squeezed.