After climbing to an all-time high above $124,000 in mid-August, Bitcoin has slipped back under $110,000 and is now trading in a narrowing range.
While some long-term bulls still see $200,000 as a realistic target before 2026, short-term sentiment is turning more cautious.
Prediction Markets Signal Bearish Tilt
Data from Polymarket shows a majority of bettors now believe Bitcoin will slide below six figures before the year ends. The market is pricing in a 62% chance of a drop under $100,000, reflecting growing conviction after BTC dipped under $110,000 for the first time in six weeks.
Analysts Weigh Institutional Support vs. Whale Selling
Min Jung, an analyst at Presto Research, said the bearish outlook cannot be dismissed. According to Jung, institutional buyers and corporate treasuries have so far absorbed most of the selling pressure from long-term holders. That dynamic has kept the market from experiencing a deeper breakdown.
But the analyst warned that this balance could shift quickly. “If large investors decide to unload more aggressively, the key question is whether there will be enough new inflows to absorb that supply,” Jung said. Without continued demand from big players, a break below $100,000 becomes increasingly likely.
A Critical Test Ahead
For now, Bitcoin remains in a tug-of-war between resilient institutional demand and the looming threat of whale sell-offs. Prediction markets suggest traders are preparing for the downside, even as long-term forecasts continue to point toward six-figure gains.
Whether BTC holds the line or cracks below $100,000 may determine how investors approach the final stretch of 2025.
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Source: https://coindoo.com/will-bitcoin-collapse-before-year-end-prediction-markets-say-yes/