Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction: Is $27 the Last Barrier Before a Run Towards $32–$35?

AVAX is battling the key $27 resistance level, with bulls eyeing a breakout fueled by rising on-chain activity and ETF optimism.

Since February 2025, Avalanche (AVAX) has struggled to break past the stubborn $27 resistance level, with every attempt being met by selling pressure. This barrier has become a critical line, and AVAX bulls need to stage a decisive breakout to confirm strength.

Grayscale ETF Filing Puts Spotlight on Avalanche

In a latest development, Avalanche AVAX has gained a major headline with Grayscale officially submitting an S-1 filing for an AVAX ETF with the SEC. If approved, this would open the doors for institutional investors to gain regulated exposure to Avalanche, placing it alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum as one of the few crypto assets with ETF status. Such recognition could significantly increase AVAX’s visibility on Wall Street.

Avalanche gains momentum as Grayscale files for an AVAX ETF. Source: Crypto_Potato via X

From a market perspective, the potential ETF adds a new layer of credibility at a time when AVAX has already been showing on-chain strength and consistent ecosystem growth. Institutional flows often act as a stabilizing force, bringing long-term liquidity and reducing reliance on purely speculative cycles.

AVAX Price Testing Key Resistance Levels

Avalanche is currently holding firm above the $20.3 weekly support, trading around $24.30 while pressing into the $27 to $28 resistance zone. Analyst CryptoPulse notes that this level has acted as a key decision point, with price consolidating below it for weeks. The 2-week timeframe chart highlights a steady sequence of higher lows, signaling accumulation, while volume patterns suggest that buyers are gradually building pressure for a potential breakout.

Avalanche holds above $20.3 support as bulls test the $27–$28 resistance zone, with a breakout eyeing $32–$35 next. Source: CryptoPulse via X

A confirmed close above $28 would be the next trigger, opening a path toward $32 to $35 in alignment with the broader monthly descending trendline. Structurally, AVAX remains capped under this long-term resistance, but each retest weakens the ceiling. If momentum aligns with expanding on-chain metrics and ETF-driven sentiment, the technical breakout could set the stage for a sustained move higher into Q4 2025.

Avalanche C-Chain Transactions Hit New Highs

Avalanche’s C-Chain just recorded another yearly all-time high, surpassing 2 million daily transactions, the most activity since March 2024. Analyst Nicolas Lemaitre highlights this surge as a clear signal of how usage on the network is accelerating.

Avalanche’s C-Chain tops 2M daily transactions. Source: Nicolas Lemaitre via X

From a market perspective, strong on-chain activity often lays the groundwork for price expansion. If this momentum holds, the latest surge could serve as a key catalyst to reinforce AVAX’s push against the $27 to $28 resistance zone and build confidence for a breakout towards higher levels.

AVAX Outlook: Symmetrical Triangle Near Breakout

Avalanche’s price action is consolidating within a clear symmetrical triangle, with support forming along the $23.50 trendline and resistance capping moves near $27. Analyst Jesse Peralta highlights that this compression has been tightening over recent weeks, suggesting that a decisive move is approaching. Structurally, each bounce has been met with higher lows, a bullish signal that buyers are gradually absorbing supply at lower levels while eyeing the $27 breakout threshold.

Avalanche consolidates in a tightening symmetrical triangle, with a breakout above $27 eyeing $30–$32 targets. Source: Jesse Peralta via X

If AVAX can secure a breakout above $27 with volume, the AVAX price prediction points toward an immediate upside target of $30 to $32. A confirmed breakout would mark a technical shift from consolidation into expansion, potentially setting the stage for stronger gains as Q4 2025 unfolds.

Final Thoughts: Can Avalanche Secure the Breakout?

AVAX Avalanche price sits at a pivotal moment where strong fundamentals, surging on-chain activity, and the buzz around Grayscale’s ETF filing are converging. The $27 to $28 zone remains the key barrier for the last 100 days, and if buyers can push through it with conviction, AVAX price prediction points toward a swift move into the $30 to $35 range.

Avalanche’s current price is $24.31, down -4.56% in the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin

With higher lows stacking up and momentum aligning, the stage is set for a potential breakout that could shift market sentiment firmly in favor of bulls.