Hyperliquid (HYPE) is up 21% in August, but can it sustain the rally?

• Hyperliquid hits $3B daily spot volume, $87M monthly revenue.
• Hyperliquid now controls nearly 80% of the decentralised perpetuals market.
• However, risks like validator centralisation and volume dependence still persist.

Hyperliquid’s native token HYPE has climbed 21.7% so far in August, cementing its position among the best-performing large-cap cryptocurrencies.

At around $45, the token is just below its July all-time high of $49.75, while daily trading volumes continue to surge.

The question many investors are asking is whether this momentum can last, or if the rally risks losing steam as broader market conditions shift.

Momentum builds on strong fundamentals

Unlike most altcoins that struggled during this month’s market pullback, HYPE has remained resilient.

While Bitcoin slipped back to $111,000 from a $117,000 peak after Jerome Powell hinted at possible rate cuts in September, Hyperliquid’s numbers kept growing.

Spot trading on the platform hit a record $3 billion in a single day, including $1.5 billion in Bitcoin alone, making it the second-largest venue for spot BTC trading across both centralised and decentralised exchanges.

At the same time, the exchange generated $93.5 million in fees and nearly $87 million in revenue this month, marking its strongest month on record.

These metrics highlight a platform that is not only attracting traders but also converting activity into substantial cash flow. This contrasts with rivals that often struggle to scale revenues despite surging volumes.

A rising star in the perpetual futures market

Hyperliquid’s rapid rise has also been fueled by its dominance in decentralised perpetuals, where it now controls close to 80% of the market.

On the broader decentralised exchanges category, Hyperliquid controls 18.4%, the largest market share, according to data from Coingecko.

At its peak, the platform processed as much as $30 billion in daily trades, a level that only a handful of decentralised exchanges have ever reached.

The exchange’s success comes from a combination of technical efficiency, including sub-second finality through its HyperBFT consensus, and a community-first approach with fee-sharing incentives for traders and developers.

The strategy has allowed Hyperliquid to eclipse established rivals such as dYdX, which saw its market share shrink from 30% at the start of 2024 to just 7% by year-end.

Today, Hyperliquid’s trading share has stabilised above 65% and at times touched 80%, cementing its position as the leading decentralised exchange for perpetuals.

Big predictions, bigger risks

The platform’s rise has not gone unnoticed. During a keynote at WebX Tokyo, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicted HYPE could climb 126 times over the next three years if its fee revenue scales from $1.2 billion to more than $250 billion.

Watching @CryptoHayes predict HYPE pumping 126x in Tokyo.

Hyperliquid. pic.twitter.com/PL8xI0gcsB

— Alex Svanevik 🐧 (@ASvanevik) August 25, 2025

Markets reacted quickly, with HYPE’s price briefly spiking and trading volume surging more than 60% in 24 hours.

Still, Hayes himself admits his bold calls are only right about a quarter of the time. Analysts have also cautioned that Hyperliquid faces risks.

The platform relies heavily on sustained trading volumes, leaving it vulnerable to downturns in a prolonged bear market.

With only 16 validators, concerns around centralisation and transparency remain.

A lack of open-source code and reliance on a small team also expose it to execution risks.

Can the Hyperliquid price rally last?

For now, HYPE’s fundamentals appear strong enough to support its recent rally.

Its growing fee revenue, record spot volumes, and overwhelming market share in perpetual futures point to a platform that is executing with remarkable precision.

Valuation estimates from OAK Research put HYPE’s fair value between $32 and $49, suggesting it is trading near the higher end of conservative models but not wildly overstretched.

Whether the rally can extend depends on broader market conditions and Hyperliquid’s ability to manage its risks.

If on-chain trading continues to grow and the platform sustains its current pace of adoption, HYPE may well have room to climb higher.