XRP seasonality shows a weak median September but historically spikes in Q4: while September’s median return is around -0.32%, Q4 averages are driven by a few very large yearly gains, making Q4 the most volatile and often most profitable quarter for XRP.
XRP typically posts flat-to-slightly-negative Septembers, median ~-0.32%.
Quarter 4 (Q4) drives extremes: average gains are high but skewed by a few outsized years.
Q4 examples: huge winners (2017 +1,064%, 2024 +240.1%) and deep losses (2018 -39.1%, 2022 -29.2%).
XRP seasonality: Q4 historically dominates returns despite flat Septembers. Read the latest seasonal data and what it means for 2025 trading. Learn more.
What is XRP seasonality and why does it matter?
XRP seasonality is the pattern of recurring monthly and quarterly returns observed across XRP’s trading history. It matters because historical clustering of large Q4 moves—both gains and losses—help traders anticipate periods of heightened volatility and potential outsized returns.
How has XRP historically performed in September and Q4?
Across price history analyzed by CryptoRank (plain text), September often finishes flat or slightly negative: average +14.7% but median -0.32%, indicating skewed returns. Q4 is the more telling period: average returns are elevated (driven by outliers) with a median near +0.7%, showing many years end modestly while a few produce very large gains.
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2025 monthly returns to date: January +46.0%, February -29.3%, March -2.52%, April +4.98%, May -0.80%, June +2.95%, July +35.0%, August -0.09% (to date). That places Q3-to-date near +34.9%, setting a common pre-fall pattern where summer consolidation precedes a higher-beta autumn.
Q4 outcomes concentrate large moves because market catalysts, macro seasonality, and episodic demand align in some years but not others. Historical examples include outsized rallies in 2013, 2014, 2017 and 2024, contrasting with multi-year weak Q4 finishes such as 2018 and 2022. This concentration raises expected value but increases variance.
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Source: https://en.coinotag.com/xrp-may-be-positioned-for-stronger-q4-performance-after-historically-mixed-septembers/