Bitcoin Jackson Hole volatility hinges on Jerome Powell’s tone: a dovish Powell could sustain gains while a hawkish delivery may trigger a pullback. Traders are watching options and rates pricing for an immediate directional cue ahead of Friday’s speech.
Market hinge: Powell’s tone at Jackson Hole will likely dictate near-term Bitcoin direction.
Options data show split bullish and bearish bets; implied volatility is subdued.
Bitcoin fell ~8% from its August 14 peak to $114,170 as inflation signals tightened rate-cut expectations.
Bitcoin Jackson Hole: Watch Powell’s speech for market direction; read immediate analysis and trade-prep steps. Stay informed with COINOTAG updates.
What is the Bitcoin outlook ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech?
Bitcoin Jackson Hole price action is rangebound as traders parse Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech for signals on rate policy. Market pricing of a September rate cut, mixed inflation data, and options positioning create a narrow window where Powell’s tone—dovish or hawkish—will determine near-term momentum.
How are options markets positioning for Powell’s speech?
Options data indicate near-equal bullish and bearish block trades, signaling divergent institutional views. Short-term implied volatility has declined, suggesting that major participants expect limited immediate market-moving volatility from the speech despite high headline risk.
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July CPI suggested easing inflation and boosted rate-cut hopes, which helped push Bitcoin to record highs in early August. But subsequent PPI data raised inflation concerns, reducing conviction that the Fed will cut rates soon. This data divergence leaves traders hedged and creates competing directional bets in the derivatives market.
Bitcoin dropped roughly 8% from an August 14 all-time high near $124,128 to about $114,170 over seven days, according to CoinGecko data. Traders cite CPI, PPI, and Fed pricing—including a near-85% implied September cut probability in some models—as the core drivers of sentiment shifts.
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Source: https://en.coinotag.com/bitcoin-rangebound-as-divergent-options-bets-signal-uncertainty-ahead-of-powells-jackson-hole-remarks/