Hedera Price Analysis: Chart Pattern Shows What’s Coming for HBAR

HBAR is pushing higher this week, trading near $0.272 and up more than 20% over the past seven days. 

After bouncing from around $0.19 earlier this month, it’s now approaching a major resistance area between $0.285 and $0.30. 

The move has come alongside growing momentum in the broader crypto market, with the total market cap reaching $3.87 trillion.

Traders are now watching to see if HBAR can break through this key zone. It’s the same level that capped rallies in late 2024 and early 2025.

A breakout above $0.30 could open the door for a bigger move. But right now, that resistance remains in play.

We had a look at the chart, and it showed HBAR price hitting the resistance band and reacting, noting that this zone has shut down multiple past rallies. “Fake moves” above the trendline failed to hold before, and buyers may need more strength this time to flip it.

Glassnode data confirms that the rally is not just based on speculation. On-chain metrics show a reduction in HBAR drawdown from all-time highs and a steady rise in transfer volume. 

This suggests real engagement from both new participants and mid-sized holders, not just traders chasing price.

HBAR on-chain metrics show network strength

Glassnode’s price drawdown chart shows HBAR recovering from a -72% drop from its all-time high to about -60% today. That kind of narrowing suggests sustained buying pressure and a return of market interest. 

As the price moved from $0.19 to near $0.275, the losses from peak levels have gradually reduced. A separate line chart shows HBAR price forming a stair-step rally. 

It began with steady accumulation around $0.19, followed by a breakout past $0.24, a small pullback, and now another move higher toward $0.28. This structure matches classic accumulation-breakout patterns.

Circulating supply also jumped slightly from 42.3914B to 42.3928B during the rally, according to another Glassnode chart. Normally, rising supply can add pressure, but in this case, HBAR price kept climbing. 

That shows demand is absorbing the increase in tokens, often a bullish signal. Transfer volume has risen along with price, suggesting the rally has real traction. 

If those metrics stay elevated while price holds or climbs, momentum could continue. But if address activity or volume drops while price stalls at resistance, it could mark the start of a pullback.

HBAR Price Analysis: bulls in control, but facing resistance

HBAR daily chart. Source: TradingView

HBAR 4h chart. Source: TradingView

On the daily chart, HBAR price has broken above the 100-day SMA, now sitting near $0.1780. That’s a bullish shift in structure. 

Price has also pushed through key levels at $0.18 and $0.22, and confirms a breakout from the months-long downtrend that started in late 2024.

Right now, HBAR is trading just under the $0.285–$0.30 resistance zone. This is where sellers stepped in hard during the last two rallies, and the reaction here will be critical for short-term trend direction. 

RSI is over 81 on the daily chart, and it puts the asset in overbought territory and suggesting that a cooling-off period may come next.

On the 4-hour chart, the uptrend is even clearer. Since the start of July, HBAR price has formed a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows. 

The 50-period SMA around $0.2249 has acted as dynamic support, and the price has respected an upward trendline since late June. 

A bearish divergence is now showing on the RSI, where price made new highs but the indicator didn’t. That could signal weakening momentum. 

The uptrend is still in place, though, unless the price of HBAR falls below $0.225. Also, if the rally slows, Fibonacci retracement levels suggest that $0.195 and $0.205 could be downside zones.

Crypto market cap breakout supports altcoin momentum

The broader crypto market is helping set the tone. As of today, total market capitalization stands at $3.87 trillion after adding $56 billion in a single day. 

A chart shared by BeInCrypto shows a clean breakout candle backed by $390B in volume. Bitcoin trading above $120,000 has helped boost sentiment. 

With BTC holding firm, capital is now rotating into altcoins like HBAR. That rotation is typical of bull phases and usually leads to increased participation across the board.

Why Is the Crypto Market Up Today? 📈

The crypto market’s surging today, with the total market cap rising to $3.87 trillion.
Key factors:
🔹 $BTC reclaiming $120,000 at $120,071
🔸 $HBAR surging 20.8% to $0.285 pic.twitter.com/7L5qNZT38p

— BeInCrypto (@beincrypto) July 18, 2025

Key support for the total crypto market cap sits at $3.80T and $3.73T. As long as those levels hold, the current trend remains intact. Resistance now sits at $3.90T, followed by the major psychological level at $4.00T.

HBAR rally appears to be part of this broader surge. With both BTC and altcoins gaining traction, market structure across the board is turning more favorable. If volume remains strong and resistance levels begin to break, the move could accelerate.

HBAR Short-Term Outlook: bullish structure, resistance ahead

HBAR price remains in a solid uptrend, both on higher timeframes and intraday charts. The $0.285–$0.30 resistance zone is now the key barrier. 

If bulls can push through and close above $0.30, the price could target the $0.32–$0.35 zone next. But if the move stalls, the $0.25–$0.26 area is the first support to watch. 

Below that, the $0.22–$0.225 level and 50-SMA are crucial. A break under both would weaken the structure and open the door for a deeper correction.

Momentum remains strong, but RSI levels and past price action suggest that this is a major test. For now, bulls are in control, but the next couple of daily candles will decide whether HBAR breaks higher or takes a breather.

Check out the following article if you’re wondering whether HBAR will reach $1 in 2025. If you’re curious about our algorithmic price forecast, check out our HBAR price prediction.