Bitcoin Nears $117K Amid Steady Holder Confidence and Moderate Transaction Growth

• Bitcoin’s recent surge to an all-time high of $117,947 underscores robust investor confidence despite a modest increase in transaction volume.

• While Bitcoin’s price momentum accelerates, network activity remains subdued compared to 2023 peaks, indicating steady holder conviction rather than speculative trading.

• As noted by analyst AxelAdlerjr on X, Bitcoin’s 24.92% year-to-date gain contrasts sharply with Ethereum’s 11% decline, highlighting divergent recovery paths within the crypto market.

Bitcoin hits $117K with steady holder confidence as transaction count rises slightly; Ethereum lags with an 11% YTD drop amid cautious market dynamics.

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Bitcoin Transaction Volume Grows Modestly but Remains Below 2023 Highs

Bitcoin’s price rally to nearly $118,000 has been accompanied by a moderate increase in daily transactions, rising from 340,000 to 364,000 over two days. However, this activity remains significantly below the 2023–2024 peak transaction range of 530,000 to 666,000 per day. This divergence suggests that while price appreciation is strong, the underlying network usage is not experiencing a proportional surge. Historically, Bitcoin’s transaction count surged alongside price increases, reaching a high of 666,000 transactions in March 2024 when prices neared $60,000. The current scenario, with fewer transactions despite higher prices, points to a market dominated by long-term holders rather than active traders.

Historical Transaction Trends Reflect Holder Stability

In 2023, Bitcoin’s transaction count closely tracked price movements, with activity rising sharply as prices approached $30,000 and $60,000 milestones. Yet, as Bitcoin surpassed $90,000 in early 2025, transaction volumes declined to below 400,000 daily, despite price gains. This trend has persisted into mid-2025, where the 30-day moving average of transactions continues to trend downward. Such behavior indicates that holders are increasingly adopting a buy-and-hold strategy, reducing on-chain activity and signaling confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition.

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Holder Confidence Drives Price Rally Amid Reduced On-Chain Activity

Analyst Axel Adler Jr. highlights that the modest uptick in transaction count to 364,000 daily does not reflect panic selling or speculative frenzy but rather a calm market environment. This stability reinforces both fundamental and technical bullish sentiment, suggesting that the current rally is underpinned by genuine investor conviction. Furthermore, the decline in on-chain transactions may be partially attributed to the growing adoption of custodial wallets and layer-2 scaling solutions, which shift transaction activity off the main Bitcoin blockchain. As a result, Bitcoin’s market valuation is increasingly decoupled from direct base-layer usage, emphasizing its role as a store of value over transactional utility.

Ethereum’s Recovery Remains Slower Compared to Bitcoin’s Surge

Contrasting Bitcoin’s strong performance, Ethereum’s price currently stands at $2,994, reflecting a 7% daily increase but an 11% decline year-to-date. This disparity highlights Ethereum’s more gradual recovery trajectory amid broader market dynamics. While Bitcoin benefits from heightened investor sentiment and reduced sell pressure, Ethereum faces challenges related to network upgrades and competitive pressures within the smart contract ecosystem. Investors are closely monitoring Ethereum’s progress on scaling and sustainability initiatives, which will be crucial for its ability to regain momentum and close the performance gap with Bitcoin.

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