Director Gareth Edward’s super-sized sequel Jurassic World: Rebirth is besting expectations as it devours the July 4th holiday weekend box office, closing in on $320 million in worldwide receipts and a $148 million domestic opening.
Reptiles rule in “Jurassic World: Rebirth.”
Starring Scarlett Johansson and Mahershala Ali have enough shared star wattage that leading a marquee brand like Jurassic World looks like the sure thing of the summer,
Jurassic World By The Numbers
Coming into opening weekend, it looked like Jurassic World: Rebirth would be another billion dollar earner beloved by fans of the series, which has landed A- or A grades from viewers via Cinemascore for the last three franchise outings. That would typically mean we could expect a 3x final multiplier or better, so we’d then expect a $320 million opening weekend to translate into at least $960 million and more likely north of a billion bucks.
But with an unexpected B grade, the second lowest of the entire franchise, Jurassic World: Rebirth will need to maintain momentum and international turnout to overcome mixed or negative word of mouth and strike near $1 billion territory. At this point, it’s possible that $960 million figure could wind up on the higher end of its possible outcomes, with a sub-$950 million final cume now looking possible.
Not that anyone expects Jurassic World: Rebirth to fall of a cliff or risk being a flop – there’s no realistic chance of that happening, as even a 2.5x final multiplier gets it to $800 million. But the fact we’re even talking about risks after such a huge opening weekend is telling. Maybe word of mouth and reviews won’t matter, if the sheer spectacle makes it worthy of price of admission for mainstream audiences, and if the loyal fanbase shows up for repeat viewings.
I’m expecting a roughly 2.7x final multiplier and a finishing worldwide total of $865+ million, with high-end right at $900 million and low end of perhaps $850 million.
But everything depends on next weekend’s figures after the arrival of the first major box office threat, and the bigger the box office impact, the faster Jurassic World’s plans for a billion dollar summer may go extinct.
Can Jurassic World Rule Summer Season?
Not helping matters is the fact WBD’s and DC Studio’s rebooted superhero cinematic world kicks off in live-action next weekend with Superman expected to gross $120-150 million in North America, hoping to overcome its own brand baggage but so far soaring high on fantastic trailers, tons of buzz, and a flying dog wearing a cape who looks like an instant favorite for child audiences.
With Fantastic Four: First Steps arriving two weeks later, the super-combo from DC and Marvel will significantly eat into Jurassic World: Rebirth’s demographics if those two films’ fanbases show up as expected and mainstream audiences score them strong enough.
Watch Superman’s Cinemascore on Friday night for a good preview of things to come – if it’s an A- or higher, then the pressure is on Rebirth, and an A- or better for Fantastic Four: First Steps would suggest to me that the dinosaurs are destined to give up the summer crown to one of the challengers after all.
While I do still think Jurassic World: Rebirth has good odds of a win as the summer 2025 box office champ, and I am not trying to diminish its terrific opening weekend, I think the cheering is distracting from the signs that this could wind up finishing below loftier expectations even though it will surely still be a blockbuster among the year’s top-5 and definitely among the top-10.
Jurassic World: Rebirth should still stomp it’s way to $900 million in global sales by the end of its theatrical run. But with that worrisome B grade from audiences and bare-majority positive reviews meaning it’s likely front-loaded and will rely on summer walk-up business and the sheer draw of the brand for decent second and third weekend holds. Meanwhile, the Jurassic international footprint will loom large enough to help with the burden even in an underperforming situation.
Source: https://www.forbes.com/sites/markhughes/2025/07/06/jurassic-world-rebirth-devours-july-4th-box-office-at-320-million/