June brought a notable cooldown to the crypto derivatives market, with Bitcoin futures volume dropping 20% month-over-month to $1.55 trillion.
That’s well below the 2025 monthly average of $1.93 trillion seen earlier this year — a potential sign that the market may be slipping into another seasonal slump.
This isn’t the first time summer has brought a downturn. In 2024, futures volume fell nearly 16% in June and remained subdued through September.
A similar pattern appeared in 2023, when July alone saw a 30% drop from the first-half average, followed by further declines in August and September. That historical backdrop makes this year’s dip particularly notable.
Analysts point to typical summer behavior as one explanation: investors and traders often reduce exposure or take vacations, leading to lower activity and thinner order books. Some argue that lower volumes during summer also create conditions for more abrupt price movements, as less liquidity can amplify volatility during unexpected news events.
While it’s too early to declare a full-fledged seasonal recession, early signs suggest the pattern may be repeating. If July and August follow a similar trajectory, crypto markets may face a quieter — and potentially more volatile — summer. For now, all eyes are on whether trading volume bounces back or continues to slide through the hotter months.
Alexander Stefanov
Reporter at Coindoo
Alex is an experienced finance journalist and a cryptocurrency and blockchain enthusiast. With over 8 years of experience covering the crypto, blockchain and fintech industries, he deeply understands the complex and constantly evolving world of digital assets. His insightful and thought-provoking articles provide readers with a clear picture of the latest developments and trends in the market. His passionate approach allows him to break down complex ideas into accessible and insightful content. Follow up on his content to be up to date with the most important trends and topics.
Source: https://coindoo.com/is-crypto-heading-into-another-summer-recession/