XRP Price Prediction: XRP Set for Breakout as ETF Hopes and $18.9T Tokenization Wave Spark Bullish Outlook

XRP is once again under the spotlight as a convergence of bullish catalysts—including rising hopes for a spot ETF approval and a projected multi-trillion-dollar tokenization boom—fuels optimism for a significant price breakout.

The token, currently trading around $2.22, remains resilient at its $2.20 support zone, with both technical and fundamental indicators pointing to a potential rally in the coming weeks.

ETF Optimism Fuels XRP Momentum

In one of the most notable developments in recent XRP news, the likelihood of a spot XRP Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) approval has surged to 85%, up from 65% just two months ago, according to Polymarket. This renewed confidence follows the appointment of Paul Atkins as the new Chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), signaling a more crypto-friendly regulatory climate.

A circulating theory suggests that SEC acceptance of XRP as payment in a Ripple settlement could be a key factor behind the delay in ETF approvals. Source: John Squire via X

“Traders are now predicting new all-time highs for XRP,” said a spokesperson from Santiment, referencing the growing sentiment across prediction markets. Despite the SEC’s decision to delay ruling on Franklin Templeton’s ETF proposal until June 17, the general outlook remains positive, particularly among retail and institutional investors seeking broader exposure to Ripple crypto assets.

The growing anticipation around a spot ETF approval aligns with similar developments seen in the Bitcoin and Ethereum markets. However, XRP appears uniquely positioned due to Ripple’s longstanding efforts to bridge traditional finance with blockchain-based infrastructure.

Technical Structure Suggests Potential Breakout

From a technical analysis perspective, the Ripple XRP price holds firm above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), creating a strong confluence of support at the $2.20 level. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator flashed a bullish crossover on April 12, further supporting the outlook for a breakout.

XRP’s weekly bull flag signals a potential breakout ahead of key ETF decisions in June, following the SEC’s dropped appeal in March. Source: TradingMula on TradingView

On the four-hour chart, XRP appears to be headed for the top of a symmetrical triangle formation. While attempts to breach the $2.24 resistance have been unsuccessful lately, traders are looking at $2.30 as the break-or-fade point. A solid close above it could trigger an 11% rally towards the $2.50 zone of interest.

Still, caution is warranted. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently lower than 50, showing bearish pressure is still in place. The SuperTrend indicator has also given a sell signal, suggesting profit-taking will slow momentum at critical resistance levels of $2.50 and $2.80.

Market Sentiment Strengthens Despite Volatility

According to Coinglass, 71% of traders on Binance have opened long positions on Ripple, revealing an overwhelmingly bullish sentiment. This aligns with the recent surge in XRP’s open interest, which rose to $3.75 billion—another bullish indicator that suggests increasing capital inflow into the Ripple market.

However, with high leverage also comes risk. A recent dip to $2.13 triggered a 1000% liquidation imbalance, wiping out many overleveraged long positions. Such events underline the need for strategic risk management as XRP navigates its next move.

Meanwhile, social metrics show a mixed picture. Santiment data indicates that discussion around XRP relative to other top cryptocurrencies has declined in recent months. This drop in social dominance could act as a headwind for the next phase of the rally unless renewed interest is sparked by fresh developments—such as an ETF approval or a resolution to the ongoing XRP lawsuit.

Eric Trump Fuels Ripple-SWIFT Speculation

Adding to the bullish narrative, Eric Trump recently stirred excitement during the Token2049 event by suggesting that “crypto will replace SWIFT,” referencing the outdated global payments system. His remarks echoed previous statements by Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse, who has consistently positioned Ripple XRP as a modern alternative to SWIFT for cross-border settlements.

Eric Trump claims the SWIFT system is broken and will be replaced by crypto—implying XRP as the only viable option. Source: King Karan via X

Should Ripple succeed in capturing even a fraction of SWIFT’s daily $5 trillion transaction volume, the impact on XRP value could be monumental. Speculation of such a development has already fueled increased investor interest and may serve as a long-term catalyst for Ripple currency price appreciation.

Tokenization Market Could Be XRP’s Long-Term Catalyst

Ripple’s recent collaboration with Boston Consulting Group (BCG) also indicates its ambition in the global financial infrastructure market. Their joint report predicts that tokenization of real-world assets will leap from $0.6 trillion in 2025 to $18.9 trillion in 2033—a 53% compound annual growth rate.

According to the report, “tokenization isn’t an overlay or addition to the world’s financial system—a digital overlay—it’s a redesign of the infrastructure layer.” Ripple wants to position XRP as a bridge asset in this rapidly evolving ecosystem, using the Ripple ledger to enable frictionless, regulated transfers of tokenized assets.

With U.S. regulatory clarity on the rise as President Donald Trump’s administration has just signed a bill limiting IRS control over decentralized platforms, the environment appears increasingly favorable to Ripple’s long-term plans. This could also offer momentum to the Ripple Bank of America partnership, which has long been speculated to expand under clearer regulatory conditions.

XRP Lawsuit Still Lingers, But Sentiment Shifts

Although the XRP SEC lawsuits are not entirely resolved, the mood about the Ripple lawsuit has changed. The change of SEC leadership and the latest court rulings have boosted investors’ hope for a favorable ruling or settlement.

XRP was trading at around $2.21 at press time. Source: XRP Liquid Index (XRPLX) via Brave New Coin

In the opinion of one analyst, “The market is beginning to price in an endgame to the SEC Ripple standoff, which is helping to dial down legal uncertainty that’s weighed on the token for so long.”

For XRP investors, it is a watershed moment. With hopes of ETFs, growing tokenization uses, and mounting institutional appetite, XRP may be poised on the cusp of a breakout that changes its trajectory in both crypto and traditional finance realms.

Bottom Line

The convergence of favorable regulatory changes, technical support levels, ETF optimism, and a booming tokenization outlook paints a promising picture for XRP’s near- and long-term prospects. While risks tied to volatility and legal challenges remain, the broader narrative suggests that XRP is increasingly seen not just as a cryptocurrency but as a cornerstone of the next-generation financial ecosystem.