XRP’s 27% surge looks unlikely – Yet here’s why HODLing might pay off

• When Bitcoin slows down, altcoins often steal the spotlight – and XRP appears to be seizing the moment.
• But is a 27% rally a stretch – or is XRP about to prove the skeptics wrong?

Ripple [XRP] has dropped 27% from its $3.40 peak in less than a month, yet the RSI didn’t flash an ‘extreme’ overbought level.

Clearly, big gains were realized in the process, forcing weak hands to exit as the market turned volatile, creating a demand-supply imbalance.

Now, XRP outflows have surged to 123 million as the price plunged to $2.30, down 26% in a week. Is this the start of a new cycle – or just another bull trap?

A window of opportunity

Typically, when Bitcoin [BTC] consolidates, investors often turn to altcoins for risk management or quick gains.

The XRP/BTC pair seems to follow this trend. Over the past three days, it has turned green, rebounding from the same support level that once sent XRP soaring to $3.40.

Source: TradingView (XRP/BTC)

At press time, XRP was outpacing Bitcoin with 3x the returns, triggering over $4 million in short liquidations, while Open Interest (OI) was up 1.4%.

Perpetual traders were regaining dominance, and buy orders were piling up.

With capital flowing from Bitcoin, retail interest surging, and Futures traders piling in, a push toward $3.40 – doubling from its current value – doesn’t seem far-fetched.

But with $2.50 acting as a strong historical resistance and market volatility still in play, is a 27% rally too ambitious, or is XRP ready to defy the odds?

XRP’s fundamentals under scrutiny

The crypto market cap was up 1.57% at press time, signaling fresh capital inflows, yet high-cap assets remained far from their previous peaks.

Most were struggling to reclaim key psychological levels, waiting for a bullish spark to reignite momentum.

But with macro trends fueling fear, the “high risk, high reward” appeal of large-cap cryptos appeared to be fading – and XRP is feeling the pressure. HODLing looked less attractive as investors chased quick gains.

Source: CoinMarketCap

In this climate, short-term “hype” was driving the market, while whales continued selling – making a long-term rally less likely.

But with the XRP/BTC pair is bouncing back, a consolidation below $2.50 seems more likely in the near term.

 Realistic or not, here’s XRP market cap in BTC’s terms

Unless whales flip to accumulation or the broader market roars back, a 27% surge is off the table – for now. 

However, with a tug-of-war unfolding, XRP could be gearing up for its next major breakout, making HODLing a bet that just might pay off.