Ethereum’s 4-year cycle hints at breakout – Will history repeat itself?

• Analysts predict a 200% price surge for Ethereum based on historical chart patterns and cycles.
• Liquidity flows back to Ethereum, strengthening support and positioning for a potential rally.

Despite Ethereum’s [ETH] relatively muted performance recently, analysts are pointing to signs that a major price surge could be imminent.

With technical indicators and market behavior aligning in a way that has historically preceded significant rallies, some experts are predicting a potential 200% increase in value.

As we enter February — often a strong month for ETH — many are wondering if this marks the beginning of the next big rally for the coin.

Ethereum: Potential for 200% surge

ETH’s recent chart patterns have ignited speculation among analysts about a potential rally. Observing the ETH/BTC pair, experts are noting parallels with 2021’s explosive run, which delivered a 180% gain in just two months.

Source: X

The data suggests Ethereum may be poised for another similar surge, with the current cycle resembling historical accumulation zones followed by breakout rallies.

A potential 200% rally isn’t out of the question, particularly as ETH approaches the four-year cycle pivot, which has historically marked the start of significant upward trends.

The four-year cycle

Ethereum has exhibited notable cyclical patterns, particularly in 2017 and 2021, where it experienced significant price surges.

In 2017, ETH’s price increased by approximately 9,380%, reaching around $881.94 by year-end.

Similarly, in 2021, ETH’s market capitalization surpassed $250 billion for the first time, indicating substantial growth.

These historical trends suggest a pattern of significant growth approximately every four years.

As we approach the next cycle, analysts are considering whether ETH is poised for another substantial rally, potentially validating predictions of a 200% increase.

Liquidity flows back to Ethereum

Source: TradingView

Ethereum’s short-term price action showcased a struggle to maintain levels above $3,100, with RSI near the oversold territory at 42.17, hinting at potential accumulation.

The 50-day SMA remained above the 200-day SMA, signaling residual bullish momentum — but the gap is narrowing.

Ethereum was holding its critical support near $2,984, a decisive level that could dictate the next move.

Source: X

Read Ethereum’s [ETH] Price Prediction 2025-26

Meanwhile, liquidity trends favor Ethereum as capital flows back from Solana. Over the past 24 hours, Solana has bridged 4x more capital to Ethereum than vice versa, signaling renewed investor confidence in ETH.

This influx of liquidity could serve as a tailwind, supporting Ethereum’s defense of current levels while positioning it for a potential rebound.