Bitcoin market cap dominance over two periods showed there’s a pattern. This suggests a transition from Bitcoin dominance to an “Altcoin Season.”
This transition could be denoted by a decrease in Bitcoin’s market dominance. This signals a shift in investment flow towards altcoins.
During this “Pre-rally period,” Bitcoin dominance has been relatively high, indicating strong market preference or consolidation around Bitcoin.
The “Top” indicated a peak in Bitcoin dominance, which began to decrease. This decrease was followed by “65 days of consolidation.”
BTC.D indicated that after this consolidation phase, the altcoin season could begin as per analyst Crypto Rover.
The decrease from the top began around February, reaching a lower point by April, just before the “Altcoin Season.”
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For 2025, the same pattern is observed. BTC.D peaked around December. Now has begun to fall, and then could enter a consolidation phase that lasts 65 days.
Considering the 65-day consolidation period that typically follows the peak, it is plausible to expect the start of the Altcoin Season around late February 2025.
The peaks of Bitcoin dominance were at 58.56% and 58.81% respectively at the beginning of each period.
The subsequent lows in dominance leading into the altcoin seasons noted significant confirmed drops.
This supported the prediction that the “Altcoin Season starts in 2 weeks,” aligning with the expected conclusion of the 65-day consolidation period in late February 2025.
Ethereum Monthly Return Percentages and Altseason
Further analyzing Ethereum’s monthly Returns showed clearly that February is historically a strong month for Ethereum, often marking the onset of the Altcoin Season.
Notable increases in February returns across several years, including a massive +46.28% in 2025, +1.26% in 2023, and +8.78% in 2022, suggested a pattern of positive momentum during this month.
ETH’s median February return at +14.89% and the average at +17.13%, indicated consistent uptrend.
Given the statistics, it’s reasonable to expect that February could again signal the start of an Altcoin Season, aligning with the previous pattern of high returns in Ethereum during this month.
Number of Altcoins Increasing Each Day
Additionally, there’s a sharp rise in the number of unique crypto tokens over time, emphasizing the growing diversity and expansion of the cryptocurrency market.
Particularly Ethereum’s consistent presence suggested its enduring relevance despite the proliferation of other blockchain platforms like Solana, BSC, and Polygon.
Ethereum’s position as a foundational platform for token creation is undeniable. It hosts a vast array of ERC-20 tokens and has been instrumental in the development of decentralized applications.
The historical context paired with the exponential increase in token creation shown in the chart, highlights Ethereum’s potential to remain a top performer.
As the markets approach an “Altcoin Season” marked by intense competition and innovation, Ethereum’s established infrastructure and wide adoption could make it a reliable choice for investors looking to navigate the complexities of an expanding market.
This indicated ETH’s pivotal role and suggested that its influence and utility will likely drive its performance ahead of other altcoins.
Source: https://www.thecoinrepublic.com/2025/01/27/altseason-could-start-in-2-weeks-what-history-says/