Short-term trend momentum weaken to near neutral levels – Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed on the session. Soft stocks contrast with generally firm commodities on the session while short-term cash bond spreads are narrowing somewhat, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

CAD drifts back to the mid-1.39

“Mixed short-term impulses for the CAD and limited domestic data releases (Industrial Product Prices this morning) leave markets with little to go on in terms of the CAD’s direction. Cross flows (EUR/CAD below 1.47 for the first time since July) may be giving the CAD a little support but even mild USD/CAD losses leave spot straying a bit more conspicuously from estimate fair value (1.4032 today)”.

“Short-term trend momentum has weakened to near neutral levels following the USD’s drift back from its early week peak. Spot continues to find support around 1.3950/60 but there are some tentative, CAD-positive signs on the weekly chart, with the USD failing to hold last week’s break above 1.4040 resistance (at this point).”

“USD weakness below 1.3950 could see spot ease back to the mid/upper 1.38s. Resistance is 1.4000/10.”