Weighed by dovish ECB – ING

The Euro (EUR) continued to trade with a heavy bias, weighed by dovish remarks from ECB officials. EUR was last at 1.0928 levels, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Double-top bearish reversal is underway

“Kazaks said rate cuts are necessary as economy is weak.. rates can go to neutral if inflation at 2% in 2025 while Kazimir said can’t rule out rate cut at next meeting even though he is not as convinced as media reports on Oct cut.”

“Daily momentum is bearish bias while RSI fell near oversold conditions. Risks remain skewed towards the downside. Double-top bearish reversal is underway. Support at 1.0900/30 levels (100 DMA, 50% fibo), and 1.0830 (61.8% fibo).”

“Resistance at 1.1050/60 levels (50 DMA, 23.6% fibo retracement of 2024 low to high) and 1.1090 (21 DMA).”