Failure to reclaim the 50.DMA at 83.27 can spur a decline towards 82.65 – SocGen

The Indian Rupee enjoyed its best daily gain since March on Friday, with USD/INR returning below 83.00. Economists at Société Générale analyze the pair’s outlook.

Possibility of short-term down move

The 30-day implied vol is trading at the lowest level in 20 years thanks to FX intervention by the RBI.

USD/INR has breached below the lower limit of the range since October denoting possibility of short-term down move. 

Failure to reclaim the 50.DMA at 83.27 can spur a decline towards 82.65 and the late August low of 82.35.